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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Arsenal
S S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
2,8
3,5
Conceded
0,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,11 xG 0,65
40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Apr -24 Bayern Munich – Arsenal 1–0 9. Apr -24 Arsenal – Bayern Munich 2–2

Match report

Arsenal Bayern Munich
1–0 J. Timber ⚽
B. Saka
22′
23′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
32′
⚽ L. Karl 1–1
S. Gnabry
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
38′
43′
🟨 Konrad Laimer
Half-time 1–1
G. Martinelli 🔁
↦ B. Saka
68′
R. Calafiori 🔁
↦ M. Lewis-Skelly
68′
2–1 N. Madueke ⚽
R. Calafiori
69′
72′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ S. Gnabry
72′
🔁 T. Bischof
↦ K. Laimer
William Saliba 🟨
74′
3–1 G. Martinelli ⚽
E. Eze
77′
Mikel Merino 🟨
80′
B. White 🔁
↦ J. Timber
80′
M. Odegaard 🔁
↦ E. Eze
80′
81′
🔁 Kim Min-Jae
↦ D. Upamecano
81′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ J. Kimmich
81′
🔁 R. Guerreiro
↦ L. Karl
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 D. Raya G
12 J. Timber D
2 W. Saliba D
3 C. Mosquera D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
36 M. Zubimendi M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka M
10 E. Eze M
19 L. Trossard M
23 M. Merino F
Bench (10)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
35 T. Setford
4 B. White
5 P. Hincapie
8 M. Odegaard
11 G. Martinelli
16 C. Norgaard
20 N. Madueke
22 E. Nwaneri
33 R. Calafiori

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
44 J. Stanisic D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
27 K. Laimer D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
42 L. Karl M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
26 S. Ulreich
40 J. Urbig
3 Kim Min-Jae
8 L. Goretzka
11 N. Jackson
20 T. Bischof
21 H. Ito
22 R. Guerreiro
23 S. Boey
36 W. Mike

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.