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Champions League
Referee: N Walsh
FC Copenhagen
S S T T S
3–2
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 28%
30%
25%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,27 xG 1,88
54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 0
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Copenhagen Kairat Almaty
1–0 V. Dadason ⚽
Robert
26′
Half-time 1–0
Pantelis Hatzidiakos 🟨
56′
Jordan Larsson ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
57′
2–0 J. Larsson ⚽
59′
64′
🔁 O. Baybek
↦ D. Glazer
M. Elyounoussi 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
69′
M. Madsen 🔁
↦ W. Clem
69′
69′
🔁 G. Zaria
↦ Jorginho
69′
🔁 J. Stanojev
↦ V. Gromyko
3–0 Robert ⚽
73′
78′
🔁 A. Sadybekov
↦ D. Kasabulat
78′
🔁 Ricardinho
↦ Edmilson
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ Robert
79′
Y. Zague 🔁
↦ J. Suzuki
79′
81′
⚽ D. Satpaev 3–1
87′
🟨 Aleksandr Mrynskiy
90′
⚽ O. Baybek 3–2
G. Zaria
M. Garananga 🔁
↦ V. Dadason
91′
Lukas Lerager 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Erkin Tapalov
93′
🟨 Dastan Satpaev
93′
🟨 Ricardinho
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-1-4-1
1 D. Kotarski G
20 J. Suzuki D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
36 W. Clem M
11 J. Larsson M
12 L. Lerager M
7 V. Claesson M
16 Robert M
39 V. Dadason F
Bench (9)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
9 Y. Moukoko
10 M. Elyounoussi
21 M. Madsen
22 Y. Zague
23 D. Sarapata
24 B. Meling

Coach: Bo Svensson

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1
77 T. Anarbekov G
24 A. Mrynskiy D
25 A. Shirobokov D
80 E. Sorokin D
20 E. Tapalov D
4 D. Kasabulat M
18 D. Glazer M
55 V. Gromyko M
7 Jorginho M
9 D. Satpaev M
26 Edmilson F
Bench (10)
1 A. Zarutskiy
82 S. Kalmurza
3 L. Mata
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
14 A. Martynovich
17 O. Baybek
33 J. Stanojev
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.