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Champions League
Referee: I Kruzliak
Pafos
U U T U S
2–2
Full-time
Monaco
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,18 xG 1,52
48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos Monaco
5′
⚽ T. Minamino 0–1
M. Akliouche
1–1 David Luiz ⚽
M. Orsic
18′
21′
🟨 Lamine Camara
26′
⚽ F. Balogun 1–2
28′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
Half-time 1–2
B. Langa 🔁
↦ D. Goldar
46′
David Goldar 🟨
48′
Jaja 🔁
↦ D. Quina
57′
65′
🔁 L. Michal
↦ A. Golovin
65′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ L. Camara
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ Anderson Silva
69′
76′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ Vanderson
76′
🔁 A. Fati
↦ T. Minamino
L. Dimata 🔁
↦ V. Dragomir
79′
David Luiz 🟨
88′
1–3 M. Salisu ⚽
own goal
88′
89′
🔁 M. Biereth
↦ F. Balogun
91′
🟨 Mohammed Salisu
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
4 David Luiz D
5 D. Goldar D
88 Pepe M
26 I. Sunjic M
8 D. Quina M
30 V. Dragomir M
17 M. Orsic M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (7)
82 P. Petrou
99 A. Papadoudis
2 K. Pileas
9 M. Bassouamina
10 L. Dimata
11 Jaja
25 B. Langa

Coach: Albert Celades

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
2 Vanderson D
4 J. Teze D
22 M. Salisu D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
9 F. Balogun F
Bench (12)
16 P. Kohn
5 T. Kehrer
8 P. Pogba
14 M. Biereth
17 S. Idumbo
19 G. Ilenikhena
20 K. Ouattara
21 L. Michal
23 A. Bamba
28 M. Coulibaly
31 A. Fati
43 P. Cabral

Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kruzliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.