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Super League

Referee: Alessandro Dudic

Lugano

S T S S S

1–3

Full-time

St. Gallen

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 58%

54%

62%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

54%

77%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 5. · St. Gallen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	10	1	3	+11	-1.6	31
2	Young Boys	14	7	4	3	+7	-0.4	25
3	St. Gallen	13	8	0	5	+10	+3.4	24
4	Basel	14	7	2	5	+6	+10.2	23
5	Lugano	13	7	1	5	+1	+0.3	22
6	Sion	14	5	5	4	+3	+5.8	20
7	Luzern	14	4	6	4	+4	-0.3	18
8	Zurich	14	5	2	7	-6	+2.9	17
9	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	+3	+3.8	16
10	Servette	14	4	3	7	-5	+0.4	15
11	Grasshoppers	14	3	5	6	-9	-12.1	14
12	Winterthur	14	1	3	10	-25	-12.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	8	5	0	3	+8	+4.6	15
2	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.9	14
3	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.3	13
4	Thun	7	4	1	2	+4	-2.6	13
5	Basel	6	4	0	2	+7	+11.0	12
6	Lausanne	7	3	1	3	+6	+5.1	10
7	Grasshoppers	7	2	3	2	+3	-3.6	9
8	Zurich	7	3	0	4	-3	+3.5	9
9	Sion	7	2	2	3	+1	+0.3	8
10	Servette	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.3	8
11	Luzern	7	1	4	2	+4	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	7	1	2	4	-4	-1.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	7	6	0	1	+7	+1.0	18
2	Sion	7	3	3	1	+2	+5.5	12
3	Luzern	7	3	2	2	+0	-2.9	11
4	Basel	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.8	11
5	Young Boys	7	3	2	2	-3	-6.3	11
6	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
7	Lugano	7	3	0	4	-4	-1.0	9
8	Zurich	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.6	8
9	Servette	7	2	1	4	-3	+0.1	7
10	Lausanne	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.3	6
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	2	4	-12	-8.5	5
12	Winterthur	7	0	1	6	-21	-10.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.