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LaLiga2

Referee: Alejandro Morilla Turrion

Ceuta

S S T T T

3–2

Full-time

Almeria

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

36%

57%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

43%

64%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 17. · Almeria 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	15	8	5	2	+15	+2.8	29
2	Santander	15	9	2	4	+10	+0.1	29
3	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+9	+1.2	29
4	Almeria	14	8	4	2	+11	+0.4	28
5	Burgos	15	7	4	4	+7	+1.7	25
6	Castellon	15	6	4	5	+3	+2.4	22
7	Cordoba	15	5	6	4	+0	-0.2	21
8	Cadiz	15	5	6	4	-2	-2.0	21
9	Valladolid	15	5	5	5	+2	+3.9	20
10	Cultural Leonesa	15	6	2	7	-2	-4.5	20
11	Sp Gijon	15	6	2	7	-3	+0.0	20
12	Albacete	15	5	4	6	-3	-0.7	19
13	Sociedad B	15	5	3	7	-1	+0.2	18
14	Malaga	15	5	3	7	-1	-1.3	18
15	Leganes	15	4	6	5	-1	+2.7	18
16	Huesca	15	5	3	7	-5	+1.3	18
17	Ceuta	14	5	3	6	-5	-3.4	18
18	Eibar	15	4	5	6	-1	-0.3	17
19	Andorra	15	4	5	6	-6	-1.3	17
20	Granada	15	3	7	5	-3	+0.8	16
21	Mirandes	15	3	3	9	-10	-0.5	12
22	Zaragoza	15	3	3	9	-14	-3.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sociedad B	8	5	3	0	+8	+0.4	18
2	Almeria	7	5	1	1	+8	+2.5	16
3	Santander	8	5	1	2	+7	-0.4	16
4	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+5	+0.5	16
5	La Coruna	7	4	3	0	+9	+2.4	15
6	Malaga	8	4	3	1	+7	-1.1	15
7	Eibar	8	4	3	1	+6	+1.8	15
8	Huesca	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.0	15
9	Sp Gijon	8	4	2	2	+2	+0.5	14
10	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+1	+0.6	14
11	Burgos	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.1	12
12	Ceuta	6	4	0	2	+3	-0.6	12
13	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	+3	+3.8	11
14	Castellon	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.7	11
15	Cordoba	7	3	2	2	+0	-0.7	11
16	Albacete	7	3	1	3	-2	-0.2	10
17	Granada	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.3	9
18	Andorra	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.5	8
20	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-4	+2.5	5
21	Zaragoza	7	1	2	4	-9	-0.4	5
22	Mirandes	7	1	1	5	-9	–	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	8	4	2	2	+6	+0.4	14
2	Burgos	7	4	1	2	+4	-0.4	13
3	Las Palmas	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.7	13
4	Santander	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.5	13
5	Leganes	8	3	4	1	+3	+0.2	13
6	Almeria	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.1	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	4	0	4	+0	-5.0	12
8	Castellon	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.7	11
9	Cordoba	8	2	4	2	+0	+0.5	10
10	Albacete	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.5	9
11	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	+0.1	9
12	Mirandes	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.5	8
13	Andorra	8	2	2	4	-6	-0.7	8
14	Granada	7	1	4	2	-3	-1.5	7
15	Cadiz	7	1	4	2	-3	-2.6	7
16	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.1	7
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.4	6
18	Ceuta	8	1	3	4	-8	-2.8	6
19	Malaga	7	1	0	6	-8	-0.1	3
20	Huesca	7	1	0	6	-9	+1.3	3
21	Eibar	7	0	2	5	-7	-2.1	2
22	Sociedad B	7	0	0	7	-9	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.