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Champions League
Referee: A Hernandez
Man City
S S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,77 xG 0,26
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man City Galatasaray
1–0 E. Haaland ⚽
J. Doku
11′
19′
🟨 Mario Lemina
2–0 R. Cherki ⚽
J. Doku
29′
P. Foden 🔁
↦ J. Doku
37′
Half-time 2–0
T. Reijnders 🔁
↦ O. Marmoush
67′
67′
🔁 L. Torreira
↦ I. Gundogan
68′
🔁 Y. Akgun
↦ B. A. Yilmaz
68′
🔁 E. Elmali
↦ A. Bardakci
80′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ L. Sane
Nico 🔁
↦ R. Cherki
82′
86′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ Gabriel Sara
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
25 G. Donnarumma G
27 M. Nunes D
45 A. Khusanov D
6 N. Ake D
21 R. Ait-Nouri D
20 B. Silva M
33 N. O'Reilly M
10 R. Cherki M
7 O. Marmoush M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (10)
1 J. Trafford
13 M. Bettinelli
4 T. Reijnders
14 Nico
47 P. Foden
59 C. Gray
63 D. Mukasa
68 M. Alleyne
82 R. Lewis
91 S. Mfuni

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
99 M. Lemina M
20 I. Gundogan M
10 L. Sane M
8 Gabriel Sara M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
12 B. Sen
19 G. Guvenc
9 M. Icardi
11 Y. Akgun
17 E. Elmali
21 A. Kutucu
23 K. Ayhan
34 L. Torreira
64 Y. Kahraman
67 E. C. Karasu
68 F. Kocak
90 W. Singo

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Hernandez · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.