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La Liga
Referee: A Cordero
Ath Madrid
U S S S T
3–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 47%
58%
35%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 64%
46%
81%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,31 xG 0,41
52% Possession 48%
24 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Sociedad 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 21 1 4 +45 +34.1 64
2 Real Madrid 27 20 3 4 +33 +30.5 63
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 +20 +11.5 51
4 Villarreal 26 16 3 7 +17 +6.4 51
5 Betis 26 11 10 5 +10 +9.0 43
6 Celta 27 10 10 7 +7 +4.8 40
7 Espanol 26 10 6 10 -6 -1.9 36
8 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 +0 -0.5 35
9 Ath Bilbao 26 10 5 11 -6 +8.9 35
10 Osasuna 27 9 7 11 +0 -4.2 34
11 Getafe 26 9 5 12 -8 -7.7 32
12 Girona 27 7 10 10 -15 -7.8 31
13 Vallecano 26 7 9 10 -6 +2.4 30
14 Sevilla 26 8 6 12 -7 -14.6 30
15 Valencia 26 7 8 11 -12 -0.8 29
16 Alaves 26 7 6 13 -11 -3.2 27
17 Elche 26 5 11 10 -5 -17.1 26
18 Mallorca 27 6 7 14 -13 -17.8 25
19 Levante 27 5 7 15 -16 -13.0 22
20 Oviedo 26 3 8 15 -27 -19.1 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Sociedad
1–0 A. Sorloth
J. M. Gimenez
5′
9′
C. Soler 1–1
L. Sucic
Dávid Hancko 🟨
20′
Half-time 1–1
M. Llorente 🔁
↦ R. Mendoza
46′
49′
🟨 Orri Steinn Óskarsson
A. Griezmann 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
53′
J. Alvarez 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
53′
N. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ T. Almada
54′
55′
🔁 G. Guedes
↦ P. Marin
56′
🔁 M. Oyarzabal
↦ O. Oskarsson
J. Cardoso 🔁
↦ Koke
61′
65′
🔁 A. Zakharyan
↦ A. Barrenetxea
2–1 N. Gonzalez
A. Griezmann
67′
68′
M. Oyarzabal 2–2
74′
🔁 B. Mendez
↦ L. Sucic
74′
🔁 B. Turrientes
↦ C. Soler
3–2 N. Gonzalez
M. Ruggeri
81′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
2 J. M. Gimenez D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
4 R. Mendoza M
6 Koke M
11 T. Almada M
9 A. Sorloth F
22 A. Lookman F
Bench (12)
1 J. Musso
14 M. Llorente
23 N. Gonzalez
21 O. Vargas
7 A. Griezmann
15 C. Lenglet
24 R. Le Normand
10 A. Baena
19 J. Alvarez
5 J. Cardoso
18 M. Pubill
34 J. Diaz

Coach: Diego Simeone

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 A. Remiro G
2 J. Aramburu D
31 J. Martin D
16 D. Caleta-Car D
17 S. Gomez D
15 P. Marin M
12 Y. Herrera M
18 C. Soler M
7 A. Barrenetxea M
24 L. Sucic F
9 O. Oskarsson F
Bench (12)
13 U. Marrero
41 T. Folgado
11 G. Guedes
23 B. Mendez
6 A. Elustondo
8 B. Turrientes
21 A. Zakharyan
19 J. Karrikaburu
4 J. Gorrotxategi
10 M. Oyarzabal
5 I. Zubeldia
22 Wesley

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,98
B
5,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Cordero · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.