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Europa League
Referee: D Stefanski
Lazio
U S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,3
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -22 Midtjylland – Lazio 5–1

Match report

Lazio Midtjylland
8′
⚽ G. Isaksen 0–1
Alessio Romagnoli 🟨
15′
1–1 S. Milinković-Savić ⚽
Felipe Anderson
36′
42′
🟨 Joel Andersson
Half-time 1–1
53′
🔁 M. Thychosen
↦ J. Andersson
53′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ E. Chilufya
Pedro 🔁
↦ M. Cancellieri
55′
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ T. Bašić
55′
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ Marcos Antônio
55′
2–1 Pedro ⚽
58′
61′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ Charles
Mario Gila Fuentes 🟨
69′
L. Romero 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
73′
Pedro ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
81′
N. Casale 🔁
↦ Mario Gila
82′
82′
🔁 Juninho
↦ E. Martínez
82′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
Matías Vecino 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Juninho
95′
🟨 Erik Sviatchenko
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
23 E. Hysaj D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
6 Marcos Antônio M
88 T. Bašić M
7 Felipe Anderson F
11 M. Cancellieri F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (9)
9 Pedro
5 M. Vecino
32 D. Cataldi
18 L. Romero
15 N. Casale
26 Ş. Radu
10 Luis Alberto
61 F. Magro
1 Luís Maximiano

Coach: M. Sarri

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
6 J. Andersson D
14 H. Dalsgaard D
28 E. Sviatchenko D
29 Paulinho D
35 Charles M
5 E. Martínez M
10 Evander M
11 G. Isaksen F
36 A. Dreyer F
18 E. Chilufya F
Bench (12)
17 M. Thychosen
7 P. Sisto
9 S. Kaba
73 Juninho
44 N. Dyhr
19 C. Kouakou
30 M. Ugboh
20 V. Andreasen
4 S. Gartenmann
16 E. Ólafsson
26 P. Ortíz
21 A. Nibe

Coach: Albert Capellas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.