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Conference League
Referee: J Weinberger
1–1
Full-time
Gent
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
5 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 10
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
7 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Shamrock Rovers Gent
1–0 R. Gaffney
R. Towell
3′
J. Ferizaj 🔁
↦ D. Watts
24′
Justin Ferizaj 🟨
25′
L. Grace 🔁
↦ C. McCann
34′
35′
🟨 Sulayman Marreh
Sean Kavanagh 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Kums
↦ S. Marreh
61′
🔁 Hong Hyun-Seok
↦ J. Hauge
Richie Towell 🟨
66′
Justin Ferizaj 🟨
73′
Justin Ferizaj 🟥
73′
74′
Hong Hyun-Seok 1–1
B. Godeau
75′
🔁 Núrio Fortuna
↦ I. Salah
Neil Farrugia 🟨
85′
Dan Cleary 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 R. Van Den Bergh
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
V. Serdeniuk 🔁
↦ R. Gaffney
93′
S. Gannon 🔁
↦ R. Towell
93′
Sean Gannon 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 A. Mannus G
6 D. Cleary D
4 Pico D
3 S. Hoare D
23 N. Farrugia M
17 R. Towell M
26 C. McCann M
11 S. Kavanagh M
22 A. Lyons M
20 R. Gaffney F
7 D. Watts F
Bench (8)
21 J. Ferizaj
5 L. Grace
18 V. Serdeniuk
2 S. Gannon
25 L. Pöhls
32 M. Leddy
30 T. Leitis
28 G. Tetteh

Coach: S. Bradley

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
31 B. Godeau D
18 M. Samoise M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
22 S. Marreh M
10 J. Hauge M
17 A. Hjulsager F
16 I. Salah F
29 L. Depoitre F
Bench (8)
24 S. Kums
7 Hong Hyun-Seok
25 Núrio Fortuna
27 R. Van Den Bergh
40 R. Vanden Borre
11 H. Cuypers
15 B. Lagae
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.