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Europa League
Referee: J Beaton
AEK Larnaca
S T S T T
3–3
Full-time
Dynamo Kyiv
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Dynamo Kyiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — Europa League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -22 Dynamo Kyiv – AEK Larnaca 0–1

Match report

AEK Larnaca Dynamo Kyiv
1–0 O. Altman ⚽
I. Faraj
26′
35′
🟨 Volodymyr Shepeliev
45′
⚽ V. Vanat 1–1
V. Buyalskyi
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Rafael Lopes ⚽
N. Englezou
53′
55′
🟨 Viktor Tsygankov
65′
🔁 D. Harmash
↦ V. Kabaev
R. Mamas 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
66′
69′
🟨 Ilya Zabarnyi
3–1 O. Altman ⚽
72′
75′
🔁 K. Parris
↦ V. Buyalskyi
Roberto Rosales 🟨
79′
82′
⚽ D. Harmash 3–2
O. Tymchyk
V. Olatunji 🔁
↦ O. Altman
83′
83′
🔁 S. Diallo
↦ V. Shepelev
83′
🔁 A. Besedin
↦ V. Vanat
K. Christoforou 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
84′
85′
🟨 Samba Diallo
Mikel González 🔁
↦ R. Rosales
88′
G. Naoum 🔁
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
89′
91′
⚽ D. Harmash 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-1-4-1
1 K. Pirić G
16 R. Rosales D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
21 N. Englezou D
7 Gus Ledes M
11 I. Faraj M
17 Pere Pons M
51 O. Altman M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
12 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (8)
66 R. Mamas
19 V. Olatunji
24 K. Christoforou
3 Mikel González
29 G. Naoum
38 I. Toumpas
30 H. Andreou
25 M. Gordić

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Dynamo Kyiv

4-4-1-1
35 R. Neshcheret G
24 O. Tymchyk D
25 I. Zabarnyi D
34 O. Syrota D
2 K. Vivcharenko D
15 V. Tsygankov M
5 S. Sydorchuk M
8 V. Shepelev M
7 V. Kabaev M
29 V. Buyalskyi F
11 V. Vanat F
Bench (11)
19 D. Harmash
9 K. Parris
30 S. Diallo
41 A. Besedin
21 M. Kravchenko
75 Y. Avramenko
4 D. Popov
6 M. Burda
94 T. Kędziora
74 D. Ignatenko
20 O. Karavaev

Coach: M. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.