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Conference League
Referee: A Palabıyık
Basel
T U U U S
2–2
Full-time
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
30%
25%
Both score Ø 33%
40%
25%
Average goals
2,4
1,5
Scored
1,4
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -22 FK Zalgiris Vilnius – Basel 0–1

Match report

Basel FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–0 A. Diouf ⚽
1′
2–0 A. Zeqiri ⚽
D. Males
17′
42′
⚽ M. Oyewusi 2–1
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 F. Kyeremeh
↦ M. Milićković
D. Ndoye 🔁
↦ Z. Amdouni
58′
B. Fink 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
59′
62′
⚽ M. Oyewusi 2–2
F. Kyeremeh
W. Burger 🔁
↦ F. Frei
68′
69′
🔁 O. Verbickas
↦ O. Buff
69′
🔁 D. Kazlauskas
↦ Renan Oliveira
A. Pelmard 🔁
↦ Arnau Comas
72′
Taulant Xhaka 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 M. Burba
↦ M. Oyewusi
Wouter Burger 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
34 T. Xhaka D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Adams D
3 N. Katterbach D
20 F. Frei M
8 A. Diouf M
19 D. Males M
9 Z. Amdouni M
7 L. Millar M
17 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (12)
27 D. Ndoye
14 B. Fink
23 W. Burger
21 A. Pelmard
26 K. Sène
40 L. Chipperfield
10 J. Augustin
5 M. Lang
16 N. de Mol
42 S. Ltaief
30 A. Kade
13 M. Salvi

Coach: A. Frei

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-1-3-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
12 P. Mamić D
3 M. Pavelić D
4 K. Kažukolovas D
7 J. Bopesu D
5 N. Gorobsov M
23 O. Buff M
33 M. Milićković M
92 F. Ourega M
10 Renan Oliveira F
99 M. Oyewusi F
Bench (10)
77 F. Kyeremeh
22 O. Verbickas
9 D. Kazlauskas
24 M. Burba
13 S. Mikoliūnas
27 J. Tadić
25 T. Duka
6 D. Kashken
81 M. Mikulenas
15 I. Tatomirović

Coach: V. Cheburin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.