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Europa League
Referee: C Pawson
Union Berlin
S S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -22 Sp Braga – Union Berlin 1–0

Match report

Union Berlin Sp Braga
Morten Thorsby 🟨
33′
39′
🟨 Fabiano Silva
Half-time 0–0
A. Schäfer 🔁
↦ M. Thorsby
46′
47′
🟨 Abel Ruíz
47′
🟨 André Castro
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ J. Siebatcheu
63′
András Schäfer ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
1–0 R. Knoche ⚽
68′
Julian Ryerson 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 André Horta
↦ Castro
75′
🔁 Rodrigo Gomes
↦ Iuri Medeiros
80′
🔁 S. Banza
↦ Fabiano
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ S. Becker
91′
91′
🔁 Álvaro Djaló
↦ Nuno Sequeira
Frederik Rønnow 🟨
92′
G. Haraguchi 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
94′
95′
🟨 Ricardo Horta
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
2 M. Thorsby M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
6 J. Ryerson M
27 S. Becker F
45 J. Siebatcheu F
Bench (12)
13 A. Schäfer
17 K. Behrens
40 J. Leweling
24 G. Haraguchi
21 T. Skarke
3 P. Jaeckel
23 N. Gießelmann
39 Y. Stein
37 L. Grill
16 T. Maciejewski
36 A. Kemlein
26 T. Puchacz

Coach: U. Fischer

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
70 Fabiano D
3 Vítor Tormena D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
88 Castro M
8 Ali Musrati M
21 Ricardo Horta M
99 Vítor Oliveira F
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
10 André Horta
7 Rodrigo Gomes
23 S. Banza
14 Álvaro Djaló
29 J. Gorby
2 Víctor Gómez
71 Hernâni Infande
19 U. Račić
76 Dinis Pinto
4 S. Niakaté
12 Tiago Sá
24 Bruno Rodrigues

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.