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Primeira Liga

Referee: Gustavo Correia

Portimonense

T S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 50%

36%

64%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

41%

73%

Both score Ø 39%

32%

45%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 14. · Sp Lisbon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	23	20	2	1	+45	62
2	Porto	22	16	3	3	+35	51
3	Sp Braga	22	16	1	5	+26	49
4	Sp Lisbon	22	14	2	6	+22	44
5	Guimaraes	22	11	4	7	+0	37
6	Arouca	23	9	7	7	-5	34
7	Casa Pia	22	9	5	8	-4	32
8	Boavista	23	8	6	9	-8	30
9	Vizela	23	8	5	10	+3	29
10	Rio Ave	22	7	6	9	-4	27
11	Famalicao	23	8	3	12	-9	27
12	Gil Vicente	22	7	5	10	-6	26
13	Chaves	22	6	8	8	-7	26
14	Portimonense	22	8	2	12	-10	26
15	Estoril	23	6	4	13	-15	22
16	Maritimo	22	4	4	14	-23	16
17	Santa Clara	22	3	6	13	-16	15
18	Pacos Ferreira	22	3	3	16	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+28	34
2	Porto	11	9	0	2	+25	27
3	Sp Lisbon	11	9	0	2	+22	27
4	Guimaraes	12	8	2	2	+6	26
5	Sp Braga	10	7	1	2	+15	22
6	Arouca	12	7	1	4	+3	22
7	Boavista	12	5	5	2	+0	20
8	Rio Ave	11	6	1	4	+4	19
9	Famalicao	11	6	1	4	+3	19
10	Portimonense	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Casa Pia	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Vizela	11	4	2	5	+3	14
13	Gil Vicente	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Chaves	10	2	5	3	-1	11
15	Maritimo	11	3	2	6	-3	11
16	Estoril	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	Santa Clara	11	2	4	5	-8	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	12	1	2	9	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Sp Braga	12	9	0	3	+11	27
3	Porto	11	7	3	1	+10	24
4	Sp Lisbon	11	5	2	4	+0	17
5	Casa Pia	11	5	2	4	-4	17
6	Vizela	12	4	3	5	+0	15
7	Chaves	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Gil Vicente	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Arouca	11	2	6	3	-8	12
10	Estoril	12	3	2	7	-6	11
11	Guimaraes	10	3	2	5	-6	11
12	Boavista	11	3	1	7	-8	10
13	Portimonense	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Rio Ave	11	1	5	5	-8	8
15	Famalicao	12	2	2	8	-12	8
16	Pacos Ferreira	10	2	1	7	-9	7
17	Santa Clara	11	1	2	8	-8	5
18	Maritimo	11	1	2	8	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.