Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Brighton

U T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Newcastle

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Brighton Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,3

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,30 xG 1,23

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 6. · Newcastle 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	4	4	0	0	+9	+6.3	12
2	Tottenham	4	3	1	0	+7	+1.0	10
3	West Ham	4	3	1	0	+5	+0.3	10
4	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.6	7
5	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.3	7
6	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.9	6
7	Brentford	4	1	3	0	+3	+5.4	6
8	Aston Villa	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.7	6
9	Nott'm Forest	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.9	6
10	Man United	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.8	6
11	Chelsea	4	1	1	2	+0	+4.1	4
12	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
13	Fulham	4	1	1	2	-6	-8.2	4
14	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	+2	+2.0	3
15	Wolves	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.2	3
16	Bournemouth	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.7	2
17	Sheffield United	4	0	1	3	-3	-6.6	1
18	Everton	4	0	1	3	-6	+0.5	1
19	Luton	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.9	0
20	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.6	6
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.5	6
3	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+2	+3.4	4
4	Arsenal	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.3	4
5	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.4	3
6	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	+3	+2.8	3
7	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
8	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
9	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
10	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
11	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
12	Brentford	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.9	3
13	Sheffield United	3	0	1	2	-2	-5.7	1
14	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.1	1
15	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
16	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
17	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.5	0
18	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
19	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.5	0
20	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.4	7
2	West Ham	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.0	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.7	6
4	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
5	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
6	Fulham	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.7	4
7	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
8	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.5	3
9	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
10	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
11	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.8	3
12	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.3	3
13	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.6	1
14	Everton	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.0	1
15	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
17	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
18	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
19	Luton	2	0	0	2	-6	-4.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.