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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

A. Lustenau

U T U T U

0–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Lustenau 10. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	A. Klagenfurt	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Hartberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	LASK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Altach	3	1	0	2	-5	3
10	A. Lustenau	3	0	2	1	-2	2
11	BW Linz	3	0	1	2	-3	1
12	Tirol	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	LASK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Altach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	BW Linz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hartberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	A. Klagenfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	A. Lustenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Hartberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	A. Lustenau	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	SK Rapid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
11	Altach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
12	Tirol	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.