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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Elfsborg

U S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Goteborg

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

68%

37%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

47%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,70 xG 0,32

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 7. · Goteborg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	20	14	3	3	+30	+21.2	45
2	Hammarby	19	11	2	6	+16	+3.1	35
3	Djurgarden	18	11	2	5	+14	+1.0	35
4	GAIS	19	10	1	8	+0	-3.0	31
5	Hacken	18	9	3	6	+7	-3.5	30
6	Mjallby	19	9	3	7	+3	+1.8	30
7	Elfsborg	19	9	2	8	+8	+2.2	29
8	AIK	19	9	2	8	-3	+1.7	29
9	Sirius	19	8	4	7	+4	-0.0	28
10	Brommapojkarna	19	6	7	6	-4	+2.7	25
11	Norrkoping	19	7	2	10	-16	-4.3	23
12	Goteborg	19	5	6	8	-8	-3.2	21
13	Halmstad	19	7	0	12	-13	-6.8	21
14	Varnamo	19	5	4	10	-9	-7.3	19
15	Kalmar	20	5	2	13	-18	-9.5	17
16	Vasteras SK	19	4	3	12	-11	+4.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	8	0	1	+19	+8.7	24
2	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+15	+3.9	22
3	GAIS	10	7	1	2	+7	+0.8	22
4	Mjallby	10	6	3	1	+8	+2.6	21
5	Hammarby	9	6	1	2	+11	+1.2	19
6	AIK	9	6	0	3	+9	+2.1	18
7	Djurgarden	10	5	2	3	+2	-2.0	17
8	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+7	-1.7	16
9	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	+4	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	9	5	0	4	-4	-1.5	15
11	Sirius	9	4	2	3	+6	+1.8	14
12	Vasteras SK	10	3	1	6	-5	+2.5	10
13	Goteborg	10	2	4	4	-6	-3.3	10
14	Brommapojkarna	9	2	3	4	-8	+1.1	9
15	Kalmar	10	2	2	6	-7	-3.2	8
16	Varnamo	10	1	2	7	-13	-4.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	6	3	2	+11	+12.5	21
2	Djurgarden	8	6	0	2	+12	+3.1	18
3	Hammarby	10	5	1	4	+5	+1.9	16
4	Brommapojkarna	10	4	4	2	+4	+1.5	16
5	Varnamo	9	4	2	3	+4	-3.3	14
6	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.8	14
7	Sirius	10	4	2	4	-2	-1.9	14
8	Goteborg	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.2	11
9	AIK	10	3	2	5	-12	-0.4	11
10	Mjallby	9	3	0	6	-5	-0.9	9
11	GAIS	9	3	0	6	-7	-3.9	9
12	Kalmar	10	3	0	7	-11	-6.3	9
13	Norrkoping	10	2	2	6	-12	-2.9	8
14	Elfsborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-1.8	7
15	Halmstad	10	2	0	8	-17	-5.7	6
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	2	6	-6	+1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.