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Super League
Referee: L Pairetto
2–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 43%
25%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
25%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
75%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · Olympiakos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 AEK 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Olympiakos 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Aris 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Atromitos 5 1 3 1 +0 6
7 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 3 2 -1 6
8 Aris Thessalonikis 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Panetolikos 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Panathinaikos 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Lamia 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Athens Kallithea 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Volos NFC 5 1 0 4 -8 3
14 Levadeiakos 4 0 2 2 -4 2
15 Panserraikos 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
1–0 Manu García
C. Diandy
3′
Hugo Mallo 🟨
31′
Fran Vélez 🟨
35′
38′
🟨 Andreas Ndoj
2–0 Loren Morón
Manu García
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ Dani García
46′
🔁 Willian
↦ K. Velde
57′
🟨 David Carmo
69′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ Chiquinho
75′
🟨 Sérgio Oliveira
V. Darida 🔁
↦ Manu García
76′
K. Saverio 🔁
↦ C. Diandy
76′
77′
🔁 Costinha
↦ Gelson Martins
77′
🔁 G. Biancone
↦ A. Ntoi
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ Loren Morón
86′
José Cifuentes 🟨
87′
J. Jules 🔁
↦ J. Cifuentes
93′
96′
A. El Kaabi 2–1
Rodinei
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 Hugo Mallo D
4 Fran Vélez D
14 J. Brabec D
17 M. Frýdek D
5 J. Cifuentes M
8 Monchu M
99 C. Diandy M
6 Manu García M
7 P. Sisto M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
16 V. Darida
11 K. Saverio
9 Á. Zamora
30 J. Jules
92 L. Rose
10 G. Fetfatzidis
27 Juankar
33 Martín Montoya
20 F. Sidklev

Coach: A. Mantzios

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
74 A. Ntoi D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
14 Dani García M
10 Gelson Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
11 K. Velde M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
27 Sérgio Oliveira
18 Willian
17 R. Yaremchuk
20 Costinha
4 G. Biancone
65 A. Apostolopoulos
8 M. Stamenić
1 A. Paschalakis
5 L. Pirola

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.