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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
Olympiakos
S U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Atromitos
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · Atromitos 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 AEK 5 3 2 0 +8 11
3 OFI Crete 7 3 2 2 +0 11
4 Olympiakos 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Atromitos 6 2 3 1 +2 9
6 Panathinaikos 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Aris 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Panetolikos 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 4 2 -1 7
11 Athens Kallithea 6 0 5 1 -1 5
12 Lamia 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Levadeiakos 6 0 4 2 -4 4
14 Volos NFC 6 1 1 4 -8 4
15 Panserraikos 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Atromitos
Apostolos Apostolopoulos 🟨
31′
1–0 Rodinei
40′
Half-time 1–0
Willian 🔁
↦ K. Velde
46′
Charalampos Kostoulas 🟨
56′
S. Hezze 🔁
↦ M. Stamenić
61′
61′
🔁 D. Jubitana
↦ T. van Weert
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
62′
A. El Kaabi 🔁
↦ C. Kostoulas
69′
F. Ortega 🔁
↦ A. Apostolopoulos
69′
71′
🔁 P. Michorl
↦ T. Tsingaras
2–0 A. El Kaabi
C. Mouzakitis
74′
80′
🟨 Franz Brorsson
82′
ℹ️ Franz Brorsson
VAR: Card reviewed
82′
🔁 D. Kaloskamis
↦ Eder González
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
65 A. Apostolopoulos D
8 M. Stamenić M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
23 Rodinei M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
11 K. Velde M
84 C. Kostoulas F
Bench (9)
18 Willian
32 S. Hezze
22 Chiquinho
9 A. El Kaabi
3 F. Ortega
1 A. Paschalakis
14 Dani García
17 R. Yaremchuk
74 A. Ntoi

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
1 L. Choutesiotis G
17 Quini D
31 F. Brorsson D
70 Mansur D
3 N. Athanasiou D
18 I. Ouédraogo M
5 T. Tsingaras M
32 M. Baku M
6 Eder González M
7 Amr Warda M
9 T. van Weert F
Bench (9)
11 D. Jubitana
8 P. Michorl
14 D. Kaloskamis
55 A. Koşelev
19 P. Tsantilas
66 T. Karamanis
4 D. Stavropoulos
29 G. Vrakas
44 D. Tsakmakis

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
5,80
B
11,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.