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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
Lazio
T S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,3
3,2
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
3,0
2,3
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 0,57
48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lazio Porto
Samuel Gigot 🟨
4′
14′
🟨 Danny Namaso
Mattia Zaccagni 🟨
28′
30′
🟨 Samu Omorodion
39′
🟨 Nehuén Pérez
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Tiago Djaló
1–0 A. Romagnoli ⚽
V. Castellanos
50′
61′
🔁 João Mário
↦ Martim Fernandes
62′
🔁 Nico González
↦ A. Varela
62′
🔁 Pepê
↦ D. Namaso
66′
⚽ S. Eustaquio 1–1
Galeno
N. Rovella 🔁
↦ L. Tchaouna
67′
B. Dia 🔁
↦ V. Castellanos
67′
Mario Gila 🔁
↦ S. Gigot
67′
G. Isaksen 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
71′
76′
🔁 D. Gül
↦ Samu Aghehowa
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Deniz Gül
84′
🔁 André Franco
↦ Fábio Vieira
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ Nuno Tavares
89′
2–1 Pedro ⚽
G. Isaksen
92′
94′
🟨 Pepê
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-2-3-1
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marušić D
2 S. Gigot D
13 A. Romagnoli D
30 Nuno Tavares D
8 M. Guendouzi M
5 M. Vecino M
20 L. Tchaouna M
9 Pedro M
10 M. Zaccagni M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (9)
6 N. Rovella
19 B. Dia
34 Mario Gila
18 G. Isaksen
3 L. Pellegrini
55 A. Furlanetto
94 I. Provedel
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
29 M. Lazzari

Coach: M. Baroni

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
52 Martim Fernandes D
24 N. Pérez D
3 Tiago Djaló D
74 Francisco Moura D
22 A. Varela M
6 S. Eustaquio M
10 Fábio Vieira M
19 D. Namaso M
13 Galeno M
9 Samu Aghehowa F
Bench (12)
23 João Mário
16 Nico González
11 Pepê
27 D. Gül
20 André Franco
21 Fran Navarro
15 Vasco Sousa
86 Rodrigo Mora
70 Gonçalo Borges
97 Zé Pedro
4 Otávio
14 Cláudio Ramos

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.