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Conference League
Referee: R Jones
HJK Helsinki
T U S T S
0–2
Full-time
Olimpija Ljubljana
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,77 xG 0,38
54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Olimpija Ljubljana
31′
🟨 Marko Brest
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Muhamedbegović
↦ D. Kojić
Miska Ylitolva 🟨
51′
57′
⚽ M. Brest 0–1
63′
🟨 Justas Lasickas
68′
⚽ P. Agba 0–2
M. Brest
H. Bandé 🔁
↦ M. Ylitolva
71′
L. Lingman 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
72′
L. Plange 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
72′
B. Lyons-Foster 🔁
↦ G. Antzoulas
72′
75′
🔁 J. Govea
↦ M. Brest
75′
🔁 Thalisson
↦ Diogo Pinto
Hassane Bandé 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 Álex Blanco
↦ R. Boultam
83′
ℹ️ Jordi Govea
VAR: Goal cancelled
A. Tanaka 🔁
↦ L. Möller
84′
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 🟨
85′
Joona Toivio 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 M. Ristić
↦ I. Durdov
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

4-4-2
25 T. Nijhuis G
3 G. Antzoulas D
4 J. Toivio D
5 D. O'Shaughnessy D
30 N. Pallas D
28 M. Ylitolva M
23 O. Kökçü M
8 G. Kanellopoulos M
7 S. Hostikka M
22 L. Möller F
94 L. Erwin F
Bench (12)
17 H. Bandé
10 L. Lingman
9 L. Plange
2 B. Lyons-Foster
37 A. Tanaka
42 K. Meriluoto
1 J. Öst
99 A. Albanese
80 K. Palumets
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
6 A. Halme
24 M. Boamah

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Olimpija Ljubljana

5-4-1
69 M. Vidovšek G
18 M. Brest D
21 Manuel Pedreño D
14 M. Ratnik D
3 David Sualehe D
8 J. Lasickas D
24 R. Boultam M
23 Diogo Pinto M
6 P. Agba M
9 D. Kojić M
19 I. Durdov F
Bench (12)
17 A. Muhamedbegović
33 J. Govea
88 Thalisson
11 Álex Blanco
15 M. Ristić
99 A. Marin
45 M. Aćimović
34 A. Doffo
2 Jorge Silva
10 R. Florucz
22 D. Pintol
36 G. Lubej Fink

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.