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Conference League
Referee: P Raczkowski
Guimaraes
U S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Mlada Boleslav
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Mlada Boleslav
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 32%
25%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
2,8
1,6
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,02 xG 0,95
53% Possession 47%
25 Shots 12
12 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 10
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Guimaraes Mlada Boleslav
1–0 Tiago Silva ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Vojta
↦ D. Mareček
2–0 Óscar Rivas ⚽
Manu
59′
Gustavo Silva 🔁
↦ Kaio César
64′
Tomás Händel 🔁
↦ Tiago Silva
64′
Bruno Varela 🟨
65′
68′
🔁 D. Langhamer
↦ B. Sakala
Zé Carlos 🔁
↦ Telmo Arcanjo
71′
72′
⚽ V. Kušej 2–1
M. Králik
74′
🔁 V. Stránský
↦ T. Král
77′
🟨 Matyáš Vojta
Nuno Santos 🔁
↦ João Mendes
85′
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ J. Ramírez
85′
85′
🔁 M. Pulkrab
↦ M. Suchý
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
76 Bruno Gaspar D
15 Óscar Rivas D
24 T. Borevković D
13 João Teixeira Mendes D
10 Tiago Silva M
6 Manu M
17 João Mendes M
11 Kaio César F
9 J. Ramírez F
18 Telmo Arcanjo F
Bench (12)
71 Gustavo Silva
8 Tomás Händel
28 Zé Carlos
77 Nuno Santos
7 Nélson Oliveira
79 Bica
91 Gui
20 Samu
27 Charles
22 Alberto Baio
4 Tomás Ribeiro
2 Miguel Maga

Coach: Rui Borges

Mlada Boleslav

3-5-2
29 M. Trmal G
14 T. Král D
17 M. Suchý D
3 M. Králik D
31 D. Kostka M
5 B. Sakala M
66 P. Vydra M
10 T. Ladra M
11 J. Fulnek M
23 V. Kušej F
30 D. Mareček F
Bench (12)
9 M. Vojta
6 D. Langhamer
12 V. Stránský
18 M. Pulkrab
59 J. Floder
8 M. Matějovský
7 P. Žitný
70 J. Buryán
13 D. Donát
15 N. Penner
32 L. Jawo
99 P. Mikulec

Coach: A. Brännström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.