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Europa League
Referee: R Petrescu
Man United
S U T S U
2–0
Full-time
PAOK
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,16 xG 1,33
52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United PAOK
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Diallo ⚽
Bruno Fernandes
50′
Manuel Ugarte 🟨
55′
56′
🟨 Tarik Tissoudali
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ M. Ugarte
65′
M. Rashford 🔁
↦ A. Garnacho
65′
Lisandro Martínez 🔁
↦ Diogo Dalot
65′
65′
🔁 T. Bakayoko
↦ S. Schwab
65′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ T. Tissoudali
75′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ Mady Camara
2–0 A. Diallo ⚽
77′
M. Mount 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
81′
84′
🔁 S. Shoretire
↦ Taison
Casemiro 🟨
85′
J. Zirkzee 🔁
↦ R. Højlund
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
2 V. Lindelöf D
35 J. Evans D
20 Diogo Dalot D
18 Casemiro M
25 M. Ugarte M
16 A. Diallo M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
17 A. Garnacho M
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (12)
14 C. Eriksen
10 M. Rashford
6 Lisandro Martínez
7 M. Mount
11 J. Zirkzee
41 H. Amass
21 Antony
1 A. Bayındır
22 T. Heaton
4 M. de Ligt
75 J. Fitzgerald
36 E. Wheatley

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
15 O. Colley D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
2 Mady Camara M
11 Taison M
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (10)
8 T. Bakayoko
9 F. Chalov
77 K. Despodov
47 S. Shoretire
23 Joan Sastre
5 G. Michailidis
71 Brandon Thomas
54 K. Balomenos
25 K. Thymianis
41 D. Monastirlis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.