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Europa League
Referee: J Beaton
Twente
S S U U S
0–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,80 xG 2,07
56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Twente St. Gilloise
8′
ℹ️ Franjo Ivanović
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
⚽ M. Fuseini 0–1
O. Niang
24′
🟨 Ross Sykes
Daan Rots 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–1
B. Kuipers 🔁
↦ G. Besselink
46′
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ D. Rots
46′
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 🔁
↦ M. Bruns
46′
64′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ S. Boufal
S. Ltaief 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
74′
75′
🔁 K. Rodríguez
↦ F. Ivanović
81′
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
G. Lagerbielke 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
87′
87′
🔁 E. Kabangu
↦ M. Fuseini
Youri Regeer 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 K. Machida
↦ O. Niang
90′
🟨 Noah Sadiki
93′
🟨 Anan Khalaili
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
8 Y. Regeer D
2 M. Hilgers D
38 M. Bruns D
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
41 G. Besselink M
18 M. Vlap M
11 D. Rots M
14 S. Steijn M
7 M. van Bergen M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (11)
5 B. Kuipers
10 S. Lammers
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
30 S. Ltaief
3 G. Lagerbielke
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
6 C. Eiting
23 M. Sadílek
29 H. Kuster
4 M. Kjølø

Coach: J. Oosting

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
26 R. Sykes D
25 A. Khalaili M
27 N. Sadiki M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
22 O. Niang M
23 S. Boufal F
9 F. Ivanović F
77 M. Fuseini F
Bench (10)
4 M. Rasmussen
13 K. Rodríguez
7 E. Kabangu
28 K. Machida
6 K. Van de Perre
33 S. Berradi
48 F. Leysen
1 V. Chambaere
14 J. Imbrechts
10 A. Ait El Hadj

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.