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Conference League
Referee: D Rumšas
Panathinaikos
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
43%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 62%
80%
43%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,07 xG 0,52
57% Possession 43%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos HJK Helsinki
0–1 J. Toivio
own goal
33′
Half-time 0–1
68′
🔁 H. Bandé
↦ N. Pallas
68′
🔁 L. Lingman
↦ O. Kökçü
A. Gnezda Čerin 🔁
↦ N. Maksimović
69′
Tetê 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
69′
69′
🔁 B. Lyons-Foster
↦ J. Toivio
75′
🔁 P. Mentu
↦ L. Möller
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ T. Bakasetas
81′
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
82′
85′
🟨 Lee Erwin
85′
🔁 K. Meriluoto
↦ S. Hostikka
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
86′
Fotis Ioannidis 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
1 Y. Lodygin G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
11 T. Bakasetas M
55 Willian Arão M
20 N. Maksimović M
28 F. Pellistri F
29 A. Jeremejeff F
31 F. Đuričić F
Bench (12)
16 A. Gnezda Čerin
10 Tetê
8 A. Ounahi
17 D. Mancini
7 F. Ioannidis
80 T. Dabizas
26 E. Fikaj
69 B. Drągowski
3 P. Max
30 A. Bregou
81 K. Lilo
27 G. Kotsiras

Coach: Rui Vitória

HJK Helsinki

4-4-2
25 T. Nijhuis G
3 G. Antzoulas D
4 J. Toivio D
5 D. O'Shaughnessy D
30 N. Pallas D
28 M. Ylitolva M
23 O. Kökçü M
8 G. Kanellopoulos M
7 S. Hostikka M
22 L. Möller F
94 L. Erwin F
Bench (11)
17 H. Bandé
10 L. Lingman
2 B. Lyons-Foster
54 P. Mentu
42 K. Meriluoto
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
24 M. Boamah
80 K. Palumets
6 A. Halme
1 J. Öst
37 A. Tanaka

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.