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Europa League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Ferencvarosi TC
U T T S S
4–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,48 xG 1,31
33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Malmo FF
1–0 B. Varga ⚽
8′
2–0 B. Varga ⚽
Kady Borges
11′
15′
🟨 Jens Stryger Larsen
18′
⚽ E. Botheim 2–1
Half-time 3–1
3–1 Kady Borges ⚽
53′
K. Zachariassen 🔁
↦ Matheus Saldanha
62′
66′
🔁 I. Kiese Thelin
↦ S. Peña
Barnabás Varga 🟨
68′
M. Ben Romdhane 🔁
↦ Kady Borges
74′
4–1 I. Cissé ⚽
M. Abu Fani
74′
82′
🔁 A. Skogmar
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
82′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ E. Botheim
83′
🔁 Z. Loukili
↦ A. Christiansen
P. Rommens 🔁
↦ M. Abu Fani
86′
A. Pešić 🔁
↦ B. Varga
86′
G. Szalai 🔁
↦ I. Cissé
87′
87′
🔁 D. Guðjohnsen
↦ H. Bolin
90′
🟨 Isaac Kiese Thelin
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
25 Č. Makreckis D
27 I. Cissé D
3 S. Gartenmann D
99 C. Ramírez D
80 H. Maïga M
15 M. Abu Fani M
11 Matheus Saldanha M
10 Kady Borges M
20 A. Traoré M
19 B. Varga F
Bench (12)
16 K. Zachariassen
7 M. Ben Romdhane
88 P. Rommens
8 A. Pešić
22 G. Szalai
65 L. Őri
64 A. Tóth
21 E. Botka
54 N. Kaján
30 Z. Gruber
93 V. Misidjan
1 Á. Varga

Coach: P. Jansen

Malmo FF

4-2-3-1
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
19 C. Rösler D
35 N. Zätterström D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
7 O. Rosengren M
10 A. Christiansen M
38 H. Bolin M
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (12)
9 I. Kiese Thelin
37 A. Skogmar
16 O. Berg
34 Z. Loukili
32 D. Guðjohnsen
6 O. Lewicki
30 J. Persson
33 E. Makolli
5 S. Rieks
14 S. Jørgensen
39 W. Nieroth Lundgren
13 M. Olsson

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.