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Conference League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Heidenheim
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Chelsea
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 90%
100%
80%
Points per game
3,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
2,0
3,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,97 xG 2,90
33% Possession 67%
16 Shots 17
11 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 11
3 Corners 6
6 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Heidenheim Chelsea
2′
🟨 Benoît Badiashile
34′
ℹ️ Mykhaylo Mudryk
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Haktab Omar Traore 🟨
41′
45′
🟨 Cesare Casadei
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ C. Nkunku 0–1
S. Conteh 🔁
↦ M. Honsak
56′
J. Schöppner 🔁
↦ N. Dorsch
57′
62′
🔁 João Félix
↦ Marc Guiu
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ O. Traoré
68′
A. Beck 🔁
↦ L. Maloney
68′
75′
🔁 C. Chukwuemeka
↦ C. Nkunku
B. Gimber 🔁
↦ M. Kaufmann
77′
81′
🟨 Filip Jørgensen
84′
🟨 Renato Veiga
Jan Schöppner 🟨
85′
86′
⚽ M. Mudryk 0–2
J. Sancho
92′
🔁 T. George
↦ J. Sancho
92′
🔁 S. Rak-Sakyi
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
96′
🟨 Cesare Casadei
96′
🟥 Cesare Casadei
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-1-4-1
1 K. Müller G
23 O. Traoré D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
30 N. Theuerkauf D
33 L. Maloney M
8 Léo Scienza M
10 P. Wanner M
39 N. Dorsch M
17 M. Honsak M
29 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (12)
31 S. Conteh
3 J. Schöppner
14 M. Breunig
21 A. Beck
5 B. Gimber
25 C. Negele
40 F. Feller
20 L. Kerber
2 M. Busch
22 V. Eicher
19 J. Föhrenbach
36 L. Janeš

Coach: F. Schmidt

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
2 A. Disasi D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
40 Renato Veiga D
31 C. Casadei M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
19 J. Sancho M
18 C. Nkunku M
10 M. Mudryk M
38 Marc Guiu F
Bench (10)
14 João Félix
17 C. Chukwuemeka
32 T. George
51 S. Rak-Sakyi
33 K. Dyer
1 Robert Sánchez
6 L. Colwill
76 S. Mheuka
11 N. Madueke
47 L. Bergström

Coach: E. Maresca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.