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Europa League
Referee: C Kavanagh
St. Gilloise
U U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Nice
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
1,4
3,4
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,82 xG 0,87
49% Possession 51%
24 Shots 13
12 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Nice
1–0 F. Ivanović ⚽
33′
Half-time 1–1
46′
⚽ E. Guessand 1–1
S. Diop
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ M. Fuseini
56′
61′
🟨 Moise Bombito
65′
🔁 G. Laborde
↦ Y. Moukoko
65′
🔁 J. Clauss
↦ Y. Nandjou
65′
🔁 T. Ndombélé
↦ I. Camara
Charles Vanhoutte 🟨
75′
Kevin Mac Allister 🟨
76′
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
79′
Anan Khalaili 🟨
89′
91′
🔁 F. Bousnina
↦ S. Diop
2–1 F. Ivanović ⚽
A. Ait El Hadj
92′
Franjo Ivanović 🟨
94′
94′
🔁 L. Monteiro
↦ H. Boudaoui
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
24 C. Vanhoutte M
25 A. Khalaili M
27 N. Sadiki M
23 S. Boufal M
22 O. Niang M
9 F. Ivanović F
77 M. Fuseini F
Bench (11)
13 K. Rodríguez
10 A. Ait El Hadj
4 M. Rasmussen
14 J. Imbrechts
21 A. Castro-Montes
6 K. Van de Perre
74 D. Tshilanda
1 V. Chambaere
48 F. Leysen
33 S. Berradi
7 E. Kabangu

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Nice

4-3-1-2
1 M. Bułka G
20 T. Louchet D
64 M. Bombito D
8 P. Rosario D
42 Y. Nandjou D
10 S. Diop M
36 I. Camara M
6 H. Boudaoui M
19 B. Bouanani M
15 Y. Moukoko F
29 E. Guessand F
Bench (8)
24 G. Laborde
92 J. Clauss
22 T. Ndombélé
48 L. Monteiro
34 F. Bousnina
41 I. Salhi
31 M. Dupé
77 T. Boulhendi

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.