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Conference League
Referee: D Dickinson
Mlada Boleslav
S T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mlada Boleslav Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,88 xG 0,63
37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Mlada Boleslav Jagiellonia
Vojtech Stransky 🟨
9′
Marek Suchý 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
M. Vojta 🔁
↦ B. Sakala
46′
56′
🔁 C. Polak
↦ D. Stojinović
Matyáš Vojta 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ Afimico Pululu
73′
🔁 Miki Villar
↦ K. Hansen
1–0 P. Vydra ⚽
V. Kušej
76′
77′
🟨 Nené
J. Fulnek 🔁
↦ S. John
81′
88′
🟨 Jesús Imaz
88′
🔁 Tomás Silva
↦ J. Kubicki
Vasil Kušej 🟨
89′
M. Pulkrab 🔁
↦ T. Ladra
90′
91′
🟨 Lamine Diaby-Fadiga
Matej Pulkrab 🟨
94′
95′
ℹ️ Adrián Diéguez
VAR: Card upgrade
96′
🟥 Adrián Diéguez
98′
🟨 Michal Sáček
M. Matějovský 🔁
↦ V. Stránský
99′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mlada Boleslav

3-5-1-1
29 M. Trmal G
14 T. Král D
17 M. Suchý D
3 M. Králik D
30 D. Mareček M
66 P. Vydra M
5 B. Sakala M
12 V. Stránský M
20 S. John M
10 T. Ladra F
23 V. Kušej F
Bench (12)
9 M. Vojta
11 J. Fulnek
8 M. Matějovský
18 M. Pulkrab
13 D. Donát
26 A. Kadlec
15 N. Penner
6 D. Langhamer
70 J. Buryán
21 L. Fila
59 J. Floder
99 P. Mikulec

Coach: A. Brännström

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
3 D. Stojinović D
14 J. Kubicki M
8 Nené M
99 K. Hansen M
11 Jesús Imaz M
21 D. Churlinov M
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (12)
5 C. Polak
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
20 Miki Villar
82 Tomás Silva
22 P. Kováčik
1 M. Stryjek
51 A. Rybak
4 J. Haliti
80 O. Pietuszewski
39 A. Nguiamba
29 M. Listkowski
71 S. Stypulkowski

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.