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Conference League
Referee: Juan Martínez
Legia
S S U S S
1–2
Full-time
Lugano
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 83%
90%
75%
Points per game
2,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 23%
20%
25%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,9
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,39 xG 1,99
35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 2
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Legia Lugano
1–0 R. Morishita
11′
23′
🟨 Uran Bislimi
Paweł Wszołek 🟨
28′
40′
M. Bottani 1–1
A. Grgic
Half-time 1–1
65′
🔁 K. Przybyłko
↦ H. Mahou
Sergio Barcia 🔁
↦ J. Çelhaka
71′
73′
A. Hajdari 1–2
77′
🔁 Y. Cimignani
↦ M. Bottani
77′
🔁 O. Doumbia
↦ H. Mahmoud
T. Pekhart 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
81′
Bartosz Kapustka 🟨
83′
88′
🔁 L. Mai
↦ U. Bislimi
Marc Gual 🟨
90′
Radovan Pankov 🟨
91′
Radovan Pankov 🟨
91′
Radovan Pankov 🟥
91′
Luquinhas 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Mattia Zanotti
96′
🟨 Renato Steffen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-3
27 G. Kobylak G
13 P. Wszołek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
23 P. Kun D
67 B. Kapustka M
21 J. Çelhaka M
25 R. Morishita M
11 K. Chodyna F
28 Marc Gual F
82 Luquinhas F
Bench (10)
42 Sergio Barcia
7 T. Pekhart
24 J. Ziółkowski
17 M. Alfarela
31 M. Mendes-Dudziński
50 W. Banasik
99 J. Majchrzak
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
5 Claude Gonçalves
71 M. Szczepaniak

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
5 A. Hajdari D
23 M. Valenzuela D
29 H. Mahmoud M
8 A. Grgic M
11 R. Steffen M
25 U. Bislimi M
18 H. Mahou M
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (10)
93 K. Przybyłko
21 Y. Cimignani
20 O. Doumbia
17 L. Mai
26 Martim Marques
13 A. Ndiaye
58 S. Osigwe
22 A. El Wafi
27 Daniel Dos Santos
2 Z. Brault-Guillard

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.