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Europa League
Referee: G Kruashvili
Anderlecht
S S S T S
3–4
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 41%
67%
14%
Points per game
2,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,39 xG 1,70
49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Anderlecht Hoffenheim
1–0 L. Vázquez ⚽
K. Sardella
18′
23′
🟨 Kevin Akpoguma
39′
🟨 Dennis Geiger
41′
⚽ K. Sardella 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–1
54′
⚽ T. Bischof 2–1
D. Geiger
56′
🟨 Tom Bischof
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
57′
59′
⚽ D. Mokwa 2–2
65′
⚽ A. Hložek 2–3
D. Jurásek
A. Maamar 🔁
↦ K. Sardella
69′
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
69′
T. Leoni 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
69′
70′
🔁 M. Bülter
↦ A. Hložek
77′
🔁 L. Erlein
↦ D. Geiger
77′
🔁 F. Micheler
↦ T. Bischof
K. Goto 🔁
↦ L. Vázquez
78′
3–3 K. Goto ⚽
79′
81′
🟨 Luca Erlein
83′
🟨 Marius Bülter
4–3 L. Augustinsson ⚽
T. Leoni
88′
91′
🔁 H. Behrens
↦ D. Mokwa
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-1-4-1
16 M. Kikkenborg G
54 K. Sardella D
4 J. Šimić D
32 L. Dendoncker D
6 L. Augustinsson D
23 M. Rits M
83 T. Degreef M
11 T. Hazard M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
7 F. Amuzu M
20 L. Vázquez F
Bench (10)
29 M. Stroeykens
79 A. Maamar
19 N. Angulo
17 T. Leoni
42 K. Goto
25 T. Foket
63 T. Vanhoutte
5 M. N'Diaye
35 T. Schlieck
73 A. Lapage

Coach: D. Hubert

Hoffenheim

4-3-3
37 L. Philipp G
35 Arthur Chaves D
2 R. Hranáč D
25 K. Akpoguma D
19 D. Jurásek D
8 D. Geiger M
20 F. Becker M
7 T. Bischof M
52 D. Mokwa F
33 M. Moerstedt F
23 A. Hložek F
Bench (10)
21 M. Bülter
54 L. Erlein
28 F. Micheler
40 H. Behrens
55 B. Lade
57 L. Đurić
30 S. Kalambayi
34 S. Nsoki
43 N. König
56 T. Philipp

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.