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Europa League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Dynamo Kyiv
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Rīgas FS
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dynamo Kyiv Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
0%
36%
Points per game
0,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
71%
55%
Both score Ø 42%
29%
55%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
2,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 1,11
70% Possession 30%
9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dynamo Kyiv Rīgas FS
Kristian Bilovar 🟨
20′
39′
🟨 Stefan Panić
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Kouadio
↦ R. Ndjiki
1–0 O. Pikhalionok ⚽
76′
80′
🔁 D. Lemajič
↦ D. Zelenkovs
80′
🔁 P. Mareš
↦ H. Njie
85′
🔁 L. Silagadze
↦ R. Savaļnieks
M. Ponomarenko 🔁
↦ V. Kabaiev
86′
R. Salenko 🔁
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
88′
N. Voloshyn 🔁
↦ A. Yarmolenko
90′
Matvii Ponomarenko 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Herdi Prenga
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dynamo Kyiv

4-3-3
35 R. Neshcheret G
24 O. Tymchyk D
40 K. Bilovar D
32 T. Mykhavko D
2 K. Vivcharenko D
76 O. Pikhalionok M
91 M. Mykhailenko M
15 V. Rubchynskyi M
7 A. Yarmolenko F
11 V. Vanat F
22 V. Kabaiev F
Bench (9)
99 M. Ponomarenko
33 R. Salenko
9 N. Voloshyn
39 E. Guerrero
5 V. Zakharchenko
45 M. Braharu
3 M. Diachuk
71 V. Surkis
74 D. Ihnatenko

Coach: O. Shovkovskyi

Rīgas FS

3-5-2
40 F. Ondoa G
30 H. Njie D
23 H. Prenga D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
11 R. Savaļnieks M
27 A. Markhiev M
18 D. Zelenkovs M
26 S. Panič M
8 L. Odisharia M
15 R. Ndjiki F
9 J. Ikaunieks F
Bench (7)
17 C. Kouadio
22 D. Lemajič
25 P. Mareš
77 L. Silagadze
1 P. Šteinbors
16 S. Vilkovs
21 E. Stuglis

Coach: V. Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.