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Europa League
Referee: Luís Godinho
Midtjylland
S T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
14%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,52 xG 1,47
54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Fenerbahce
1–0 O. Diao ⚽
A. Şimşir
27′
39′
⚽ Y. En-Nesyri 1–1
E. Džeko
Half-time 1–2
47′
⚽ E. Džeko 1–2
S. Szymański
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ D. Castillo
68′
M. Krüger-Johnsen 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
71′
V. Bak Jensen 🔁
↦ Paulinho
71′
76′
🟨 Çağlar Söyüncü
79′
🔁 İ. Kahveci
↦ M. Yandaş
P. Bravo 🔁
↦ A. Gabriel
84′
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
85′
2–2 V. Byskov ⚽
86′
88′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
93′
🟨 Fred
94′
🔁 C. Ünder
↦ D. Tadić
95′
🔁 C. Tosun
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
13 A. Gabriel D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
21 D. Castillo M
6 J. Andersson M
24 O. Sørensen M
11 D. Osorio F
18 A. Buksa F
58 A. Şimşir F
Bench (11)
20 V. Byskov
41 M. Krüger-Johnsen
55 V. Bak Jensen
19 P. Bravo
7 Franculino Djú
30 O. Ejeheri
73 Juninho
3 Lee Han-Beom
15 C. Sørensen
31 L. Selin
17 K. Askildsen

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Fenerbahce

3-4-1-2
1 İ. Eğribayat G
6 A. Djiku D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
95 Y. Akçiçek D
5 İ. Yüksek M
8 M. Yandaş M
13 Fred M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić F
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (8)
17 İ. Kahveci
23 C. Tosun
20 C. Ünder
81 Ş. Toğrak
44 Y. Ekiz
54 E. Çetin
57 E. Biterge
42 M. Dursun

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.