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Europa League
Referee: J Brooks
Sp Braga
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Lazio
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 13/7 matches
Win Ø 66%
46%
86%
Points per game
1,6
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
77%
71%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
57%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,75 xG 0,60
50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Lazio
1–0 Ricardo Horta ⚽
Víctor Gómez
6′
B. Arrey-Mbi 🔁
↦ S. Niakaté
27′
Half-time 1–0
66′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ L. Tchaouna
69′
🟨 Mario Gila Fuentes
71′
🔁 B. Dia
↦ Mario Gila
Gabri Martínez 🔁
↦ Roger Fernandes
79′
88′
🔁 M. Zazza
↦ L. Pellegrini
88′
🔁 Mahamadou Balde
↦ V. Castellanos
João Ferreira 🔁
↦ Víctor Gómez
89′
Adrián Marín 🔁
↦ Francisco Chissumba
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
91 L. Horníček G
2 Víctor Gómez D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
4 S. Niakaté D
55 Francisco Chissumba D
8 João Moutinho M
29 J. Gorby
11 Roger Fernandes M
21 Ricardo Horta M
20 Ismaël Gharbi M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (12)
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
77 Gabri Martínez
13 João Ferreira
19 Adrián Marín
12 Tiago Sá
50 Diego Rodrigues
54 Guilherme Barbosa
3 Robson Bambu
80 João Vasconcelos
1 Matheus
92 Rodrigo Macedo
53 Jonatás Noro

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Lazio

4-2-3-1
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marušić D
2 S. Gigot D
13 A. Romagnoli D
3 L. Pellegrini D
34 Mario Gila M
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
20 L. Tchaouna M
9 Pedro M
14 T. Noslin M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (9)
18 G. Isaksen
19 B. Dia
63 M. Zazza
64 Mahamadou Balde
55 A. Furlanetto
53 L. Di Tommaso
94 I. Provedel
60 M. Nazzaro
61 F. Serra

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.