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Europa League
Referee: Robert Hennessy
Utrecht
U S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Genk
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,06 xG 1,61
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Utrecht Genk
Half-time 0–0
A. Blake 🔁
↦ S. Haller
46′
54′
⚽ Z. El Ouahdi 0–1
62′
🟨 Zakaria El Ouahdi
S. El Karouani 🔁
↦ D. Murkin
68′
J. van Ommeren 🔁
↦ A. Engwanda
68′
68′
🔁 N. Sattlberger
↦ Y. Sor
74′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ A. Bibout
R. El Arguioui 🔁
↦ M. Eerdhuijzen
81′
83′
⚽ D. Heymans 0–2
B. Menzo 🔁
↦ Y. Cathline
85′
92′
🔁 J. Steuckers
↦ K. Karetsas
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
25 M. Brouwer G
23 N. Vesterlund D
40 M. Didden D
44 M. Eerdhuijzen D
55 D. Murkin D
20 D. de Wit M
27 A. Engwanda M
8 C. Bozdogan M
22 M. Rodriguez F
91 S. Haller F
10 Y. Cathline F
Bench (11)
1 V. Barkas
33 K. Gadellaa
2 S. Horemans
3 M. van der Hoorn
6 D. van den Berg
15 A. Blake
16 S. El Karouani
24 N. Viergever
43 R. El Arguioui
46 J. van Ommeren
49 B. Menzo

Coach: Ron Jans

Genk

4-1-4-1
26 T. Lawal G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
19 Y. Medina D
8 B. Heynen M
10 J. Ito M
38 D. Heymans M
20 K. Karetsas M
14 Y. Sor M
23 A. Bibout F
Bench (12)
1 H. Van Crombrugge
71 B. Stevens
7 J. Steuckers
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
21 I. Bangoura
24 N. Sattlberger
27 K. Nkuba
29 R. Mirisola
34 A. Palacios
44 J. Kongolo
56 A. De Wannemacker
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.