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Europa League
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Feyenoord
T T U U T
3–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,37 xG 0,14
60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -22 Sturm Graz – Feyenoord 1–0 15. Sep -22 Feyenoord – Sturm Graz 6–0

Match report

Feyenoord Sturm Graz
1–0 T. Watanabe ⚽
A. Hadj Moussa
5′
Anis Hadj Moussa 🟨
30′
In-Beom Hwang 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Arjan Malić
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 A. Kayombo
↦ S. Jatta
J. Plug 🔁
↦ J. Bos
61′
S. van Persie 🔁
↦ A. Ueda
61′
2–0 A. Hadj Moussa ⚽
S. Steijn
68′
L. Sauer 🔁
↦ A. Hadj Moussa
71′
74′
🔁 F. Rozga
↦ L. Weinhandl
C. Larin 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
79′
O. Targhalline 🔁
↦ Hwang In-Beom
79′
79′
🔁 J. Mitchell
↦ A. Malic
79′
🔁 B. Beganovic
↦ T. Horvat
79′
🔁 J. Hodl
↦ M. Malone
3–0 G. Borges ⚽
S. van Persie
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
22 T. Wellenreuther G
30 J. Lotomba D
4 T. Watanabe D
21 A. Ahmedhodzic D
15 J. Bos D
6 Hwang In-Beom M
40 L. Valente M
23 A. Hadj Moussa M
14 S. Steijn M
11 G. Borges M
9 A. Ueda F
Bench (11)
37 M. Berger
39 L. Bossin
10 C. Larin
16 L. Sauer
17 C. Tengstedt
28 O. Targhalline
32 A. Sliti
43 J. Plug
44 T. van den Elshout
49 S. van Persie
72 H. Agboluaje

Coach: Robin van Persie

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
23 A. Malic D
47 E. Aiwu D
5 T. Oermann D
17 E. Karic D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
39 L. Weinhandl M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 S. Jatta F
77 M. Malone F
Bench (12)
40 M. Bignetti
41 E. Lorenz
2 J. Mitchell
8 F. Rozga
11 A. Kayombo
14 K. Bendra
22 J. Beck
25 S. Hierlander
26 B. Beganovic
27 G. Haider
35 N. Geyrhofer
43 J. Hodl

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.