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Europa League
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Dinamo Zagreb
S U T T T
4–1
Full-time
FCSB
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb FCSB
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/10 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
83%
70%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,84 xG 0,24
47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb FCSB
1–0 M. Bakrar ⚽
N. Galesic
7′
2–0 D. Beljo ⚽
A. Hoxha
11′
24′
🟨 Daniel Bîrligea
Dejan Ljubičić 🟨
28′
42′
⚽ D. Birligea 2–1
J. Cisotti
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 V. Cretu
↦ J. Dawa
46′
🔁 D. Politic
↦ D. Miculescu
46′
🔁 O. Popescu
↦ M. Lixandru
L. Stojkovic 🔁
↦ D. Ljubicic
60′
F. Topic 🔁
↦ M. Bakrar
60′
66′
🔁 D. Alibec
↦ D. Birligea
3–1 D. Beljo ⚽
J. Misic
71′
M. Soldo 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
72′
77′
🔁 M. Thiam
↦ J. Cisotti
Bruno Goda 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Baba Alhassan
S. Kulenovic 🔁
↦ D. Beljo
89′
C. Varela 🔁
↦ A. Hoxha
89′
4–1 S. Kulenovic ⚽
S. Dominguez
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1
44 I. Filipovic G
15 N. Galesic D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
3 B. Goda D
27 J. Misic M
71 M. Bakrar M
77 D. Ljubicic M
8 M. Zajc M
11 A. Hoxha M
9 D. Beljo F
Bench (12)
33 I. Nevistic
6 G. Villar
7 L. Stojkovic
10 G. Vidovic
14 M. Soldo
17 S. Kulenovic
20 R. Mudrazija
22 M. Perez Vinlof
23 C. Varela
28 K. Theophile-Catherine
30 F. Topic
35 N. Mikic

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

FCSB

4-2-3-1
32 S. Tarnovanu G
4 D. Graovac D
30 S. Ngezana D
5 J. Dawa D
33 R. Radunovic D
16 M. Lixandru M
42 B. Alhassan M
11 D. Miculescu M
27 D. Olaru M
31 J. Cisotti M
9 D. Birligea F
Bench (9)
34 M. Udrea
38 L. Zima
2 V. Cretu
7 D. Alibec
20 D. Politic
22 M. Toma
28 A. Pantea
37 O. Popescu
93 M. Thiam

Coach: Mirel Radoi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.