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Europa League
Referee: John Brooks
Roma
T S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,00 xG 1,65
51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Stuttgart
18′
🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt
1–0 N. Pisilli ⚽
M. Soule
40′
Half-time 1–0
B. Cristante 🔁
↦ M. Kone
60′
E. Ndicka 🔁
↦ J. Ziolkowski
60′
70′
🔁 E. Demirovic
↦ C. Fuhrich
70′
🔁 B. Bouanani
↦ M. Mittelstadt
P. Dybala 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
72′
Wesley Franca 🔁
↦ K. Tsimikas
72′
82′
🔁 J. Vagnoman
↦ L. Assignon
82′
🔁 Y. Spalt
↦ C. Andres
84′
🟨 Jeff Chabot
G. Mancini 🔁
↦ M. Soule
84′
Zeki Çelik 🟨
87′
2–0 N. Pisilli ⚽
P. Dybala
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Celik D
24 J. Ziolkowski D
87 D. Ghilardi D
2 D. Rensch M
61 N. Pisilli M
17 M. Kone M
12 K. Tsimikas M
18 M. Soule F
7 L. Pellegrini F
11 E. Ferguson F
Bench (9)
70 G. De Marzi
95 P. Gollini
4 B. Cristante
5 E. Ndicka
21 P. Dybala
23 G. Mancini
43 Wesley Franca
77 E. Lulli
79 E. Morucci

Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
33 A. Nubel G
29 F. Jeltsch D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
22 L. Assignon M
16 A. Karazor M
30 C. Andres M
7 M. Mittelstadt M
18 J. Leweling F
10 C. Fuhrich F
26 D. Undav F
Bench (10)
1 F. Bredlow
44 F. Hellstern
4 J. Vagnoman
9 E. Demirovic
27 B. Bouanani
31 C. Olivier
35 M. Catovic
37 M. Herwerth
49 L. Penna
56 Y. Spalt

Coach: Sebastian Hoeness

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.