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Europa League
Referee: Vassilis Fotias
Bologna
T T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Celtic
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,64 xG 2,11
71% Possession 29%
36 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 5
11 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
16 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Bologna Celtic
6′
⚽ R. Hatate 0–1
D. Maeda
27′
🟨 Daizen Maeda
31′
🟨 Reo Hatate
34′
🟨 Reo Hatate
34′
🟥 Reo Hatate
Juan Miranda 🟨
39′
40′
⚽ A. Trusty 0–2
A. Engels
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 B. Nygren
↦ S. Tounekti
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ T. Pobega
56′
1–2 T. Dallinga ⚽
J. Odgaard
58′
2–2 J. Rowe ⚽
72′
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ B. Dominguez
73′
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ L. Ferguson
73′
76′
🔁 J. Kenny
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
76′
🔁 A. Ralston
↦ C. Donovan
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ N. Casale
85′
87′
🔁 P. Bernardo
↦ A. Engels
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
1 L. Skorupski G
20 N. Zortea D
16 N. Casale D
14 T. Heggem D
33 J. Miranda D
19 L. Ferguson M
6 N. Moro M
4 T. Pobega M
11 J. Rowe F
24 T. Dallinga F
30 B. Dominguez F
Bench (12)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
2 E. Holm
7 R. Orsolini
21 J. Odgaard
22 C. Lykogiannis
28 N. Cambiaghi
41 M. Vitik
70 D. Baroncioni
71 L. Lai
73 F. Castaldo
74 S. Negri

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Celtic

4-2-3-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
51 C. Donovan D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
41 R. Hatate M
23 S. Tounekti M
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
31 R. Doohan
8 B. Nygren
10 M. Balikwisha
14 L. McCowan
24 J. Kenny
28 P. Bernardo
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
50 S. Mcardle
56 A. Ralston
61 S. Isiguzo

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vassilis Fotias · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.