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Europa League
Referee: Sandro Schärer
Fenerbahce
U U S S S
0–3
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,48 xG 2,74
57% Possession 43%
6 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Nott'm Forest
Milan Škriniar 🟨
9′
21′
⚽ Murillo 0–1
E. Anderson
C. Soyuncu 🔁
↦ M. Skriniar
26′
43′
⚽ Igor Jesus 0–2
M. Gibbs-White
Half-time 0–2
L. Mercan 🔁
↦ M. Muldur
46′
D. Nene 🔁
↦ K. Akturkoglu
46′
50′
⚽ M. Gibbs-White 0–3
Igor Jesus
I. Yuksek 🔁
↦ Talisca
61′
61′
🔁 D. Ndoye
↦ O. Hutchinson
61′
🔁 L. Lucca
↦ Igor Jesus
67′
🔁 N. Dominguez
↦ E. Anderson
67′
🔁 R. Yates
↦ M. Gibbs-White
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
69′
Fred 🔁
↦ N. Kante
76′
Çağlar Söyüncü 🟨
78′
83′
🔁 J. McAtee
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
Fred 🟨
91′
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
18 M. Muldur D
6 M. Guendouzi M
17 N. Kante M
21 M. Asensio M
94 Talisca M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
26 S. Cherif F
Bench (11)
13 T. Cetin
39 E. Biterge
3 A. Brown
4 C. Soyuncu
5 I. Yuksek
7 Fred
14 Y. E. Demir
22 L. Mercan
45 D. Nene
54 A. Ekici
70 O. Aydin

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
27 S. Ortega G
34 O. Aina D
31 N. Milenkovic D
5 Murillo D
3 N. Williams D
8 E. Anderson M
6 I. Sangare M
21 O. Hutchinson M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
19 Igor Jesus F
Bench (11)
18 A. Gunn
67 K. Willows
4 Morato
14 D. Ndoye
16 N. Dominguez
20 L. Lucca
22 R. Yates
23 Cunha
24 J. McAtee
29 D. Bakwa
44 Z. Abbott

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.