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Europa League
Referee: Nick Walsh
Panathinaikos
U U S S U
2–2
Full-time
Plzen
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
42%
25%
Both score Ø 48%
58%
38%
Average goals
1,9
1,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,87 xG 0,76
51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -25 Panathinaikos – Plzen 0–0

Match report

Panathinaikos Plzen
11′
⚽ D. Visinsky 0–1
L. Cerv
14′
🟨 Merchas Doski
1–1 A. Tetteh ⚽
G. Kyriakopoulos
31′
36′
🟨 Jiří Panoš
Half-time 1–1
58′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ S. Lawal
58′
🔁 T. Ladra
↦ J. Panos
2–1 A. Tetteh ⚽
61′
F. Djuricic 🔁
↦ M. Pantovic
64′
S. Andino 🔁
↦ V. Taborda
65′
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
69′
Santino Andino 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 M. Valenta
↦ L. Cerv
75′
🔁 A. Sojka
↦ D. Visinsky
K. Swiderski 🔁
↦ A. Tetteh
78′
80′
⚽ T. Ladra 2–2
M. Valenta
J. Hernandez 🔁
↦ A. Touba
82′
88′
🔁 P. Adu
↦ C. Souare
Erik Palmer-Brown 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-2-1
40 A. Lafont G
15 S. I. Ingason D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
2 D. Calabria M
11 A. Bakasetas M
8 R. Sanches M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
20 V. Taborda F
72 M. Pantovic F
7 A. Tetteh
Bench (10)
70 K. Kotsaris
71 C. Geitonas
3 G. Katris
26 J. Hernandez
6 M. Siopis
9 A. Zaroury
10 S. Andino
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
31 F. Djuricic
19 K. Swiderski

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Plzen

3-4-2-1
44 F. Wiegele G
40 S. Dweh D
5 K. Spacil D
14 M. Doski D
99 A. Memic M
6 L. Cerv M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
9 D. Visinsky M
19 C. Souare F
20 J. Panos F
70 S. Lawal F
Bench (10)
4 J. Chalupa
11 M. Vydra
12 A. Sojka
18 T. Ladra
21 V. Jemelka
32 M. Valenta
33 A. Novak
80 P. Adu
13 M. Tvrdon
15 M. Silhavy

Coach: Martin Hysky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.