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Conference League
Referee: C Kavanagh
Drita
U S S T T
2–3
Full-time
Celje
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Drita Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
38%
60%
Both score Ø 39%
38%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,70 xG 2,03
40% Possession 60%
18 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Drita Celje
Vesel Limaj 🟨
10′
19′
⚽ A. Kucys 0–1
I. Calusic
41′
⚽ M. Avdyli 0–2
D. Hrka
Half-time 0–2
L. Balaj 🔁
↦ A. Ajzeraj
46′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ K. Abazaj
46′
48′
🟨 Mario Kvesić
F. Ramadani 🔁
↦ K. Nguena
59′
1–2 B. Krasniqi ⚽
L. Balaj
59′
Egzon Bejtulai 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 M. Poplatnik
↦ A. Kucys
64′
🟨 Matej Poplatnik
2–2 L. Balaj ⚽
V. Limaj
75′
O. Grezda 🔁
↦ V. Tusha
76′
78′
🟨 Juanjo Nieto
82′
🔁 R. Pozeg
↦ M. Avdyli
88′
🔁 I. Vidovic
↦ M. Kvesic
90′
⚽ M. Poplatnik 2–3
R. Pozeg
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Drita

4-2-3-1
1 F. Maloku G
2 B. Krasniqi D
15 E. Bejtulai D
32 J. Pellumbi D
26 R. Ovouka D
8 V. Limaj M
14 A. Dabiqaj M
7 A. Ajzeraj M
93 K. Nguena M
25 V. Tusha M
77 K. Abazaj F
Bench (8)
22 L. Behluli
94 L. Rexhepi
10 L. Balaj
11 F. Ramadani
19 B. Krasniqi
20 M. Soumahoro
37 O. Grezda
66 E. Sylejmani

Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

Celje

4-3-3
1 Z. Leban G
44 L. Bejger D
4 D. Hrka D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
10 S. Seslar M
27 I. Calusic M
8 M. Kvesic M
11 M. Avdyli F
47 A. Kucys
20 N. Iosifov F
Bench (10)
12 L. Kolar
21 S. Sluga
3 D. Vuklisevic
5 G. Vodeb
7 F. Jevsenak
15 D. Castro
16 I. Vidovic
17 A. Kotnik
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.