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Europa League
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Lille
T S T U U
0–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
50%
13%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,6
1,6
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,47 xG 2,34
53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -25 FK Crvena Zvezda – Lille 1–0

Match report

Lille FK Crvena Zvezda
Félix Correia 🟨
40′
45′
⚽ F. Tebo Uchenna 0–1
J. Enem
Half-time 0–1
N. Bentaleb 🔁
↦ N. Mukau
46′
T. Santos 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
46′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ G. Perrin
62′
63′
🔁 M. Arnautovic
↦ J. Enem
76′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ Bruno Duarte
76′
🔁 A. Avdic
↦ N. Tiknizyan
N. Edjouma 🔁
↦ F. Correia
77′
S. Diaoune 🔁
↦ M. Fernandez-Pardo
77′
82′
🟨 Vladimir Lučić
84′
🔁 M. Veljkovic
↦ S. Erakovic
84′
🔁 N. Stankovic
↦ V. Lucic
89′
🟨 Matheus
89′
🟨 Young-woo Seol
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 B. Ozer G
32 A. Bouaddi D
3 N. Ngoy D
23 A. Mandi D
15 R. Perraud D
17 N. Mukau M
21 B. Andre M
28 G. Perrin M
10 H. Haraldsson M
27 F. Correia M
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
Bench (12)
16 A. Bodart
60 Z. Lanssade
6 N. Bentaleb
9 O. Giroud
18 C. Mbemba
20 N. Edjouma
22 T. Santos
24 C. Verdonk
35 S. Diaoune
38 A. Goffi
39 L. Baret
42 S. Boussadia

Coach: Bruno Genesio

FK Crvena Zvezda

3-4-2-1
1 Matheus G
25 S. Erakovic D
5 Rodrigo D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
66 Seol Young-Woo M
20 T. Handel M
33 R. Krunic M
23 N. Tiknizyan M
17 Bruno Duarte F
37 V. Lucic F
42 J. Enem F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
28 V. Draskic
6 M. Bajo
10 A. Katai
13 M. Veljkovic
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
35 D. Owusu
40 L. Zaric
45 S. Gudelj
71 A. Avdic
89 M. Arnautovic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.