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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
Jagiellonia
U U S S U
0–3
Full-time
Fiorentina
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
63%
Both score Ø 48%
58%
38%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 2,41
71% Possession 29%
11 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
19 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Jagiellonia Fiorentina
21′
🟨 Jacopo Fazzini
41′
🟨 Rolando Mandragora
Half-time 0–1
53′
⚽ L. Ranieri 0–1
J. Fazzini
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ L. Flach
60′
65′
⚽ R. Mandragora 0–2
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ K. Jozwiak
68′
68′
🔁 M. Pongracic
↦ L. Ranieri
68′
🔁 F. Parisi
↦ J. Harrison
76′
🟨 Luca Lezzerini
Bartłomiej Wdowik 🟨
78′
81′
⚽ R. Piccoli 0–3
84′
🔁 L. Balbo
↦ C. Ndour
Y. Sylla 🔁
↦ S. Bazdar
89′
E. Kozlowski 🔁
↦ B. Mazurek
89′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-1-3-2
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
70 A. Pelmard D
27 B. Wdowik D
31 L. Flach M
7 A. Pozo M
86 B. Mazurek M
72 K. Jozwiak M
11 J. Imaz F
14 S. Bazdar F
Bench (7)
66 A. Damasiewicz
4 Y. Kobayashi
8 D. Drachal
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
53 B. Krasiewicz
85 E. Kozlowski

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Fiorentina

4-4-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
29 N. Fortini D
15 P. Comuzzo D
6 L. Ranieri D
21 R. Gosens D
17 J. Harrison M
8 R. Mandragora M
27 C. Ndour M
22 J. Fazzini M
80 G. Fabbian F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
50 P. Leonardelli
51 M. Magalotti
5 M. Pongracic
44 N. Fagioli
60 E. Kouadio
61 R. Braschi
62 L. Balbo
63 P. Bonanno
64 L. Deli
65 F. Parisi
67 E. Sadotti
68 G. Bertolini

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.