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Conference League
Referee: O Grinfeld
FC Noah
U T U S T
1–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Noah AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,04 xG 0,66
30% Possession 70%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Noah AZ Alkmaar
Nermin Zolotić 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
David Sualehe 🟨
48′
1–0 H. Hambardzumyan ⚽
H. Ferreira
53′
56′
🔁 K. Smit
↦ S. Mijnans
56′
🔁 M. Meerdink
↦ I. Jensen
E. Boakye 🔁
↦ H. Hambardzumyan
57′
Matheus Aias 🔁
↦ N. Mulahusejnovic
57′
68′
🟨 Wouter Goes
M. Jakolis 🔁
↦ G. Sangare
72′
77′
🔁 I. Sadiq
↦ R. Daal
I. Oulad Omar 🔁
↦ H. Ferreira
91′
G. Silva 🔁
↦ N. Saintini
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Noah

5-4-1
92 A. Ploshchadnyi G
19 H. Hambardzumyan D
3 S. Muradyan D
39 N. Saintini D
44 N. Zolotic D
33 D. Sualehe D
7 H. Ferreira M
88 Y. Eteki M
14 T. Oshima M
17 G. Sangare M
32 N. Mulahusejnovic F
Bench (9)
16 T. Fayulu
6 E. Boakye
9 Matheus Aias
10 G. Manvelyan
11 I. Oulad Omar
23 A. Khamoyan
37 G. Silva
47 M. Jakolis
99 H. Harutyunyan

Coach: Sandro Perkovic

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
41 J. Zoet G
22 E. Dijkstra D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
34 M. de Wit D
74 K. Boogaard M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
10 S. Mijnans M
17 I. Jensen F
9 T. Parrott F
27 R. Daal F
Bench (12)
12 H. Verhulst
71 J. Schipper
4 M. Dekker
11 I. Sadiq
18 R. Ichihara
19 J. Hornkamp
23 B. van Duijl
24 A. Oufkir
26 K. Smit
33 M. Sin
35 M. Meerdink
56 R. Robbemond

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.