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Conference League
Referee: M Al-Emara
Sigma Olomouc
S T T U S
0–0
Full-time
Mainz
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sigma Olomouc Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 69%
88%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,34 xG 0,86
52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sigma Olomouc Mainz
Half-time 0–0
Jan Kliment 🟨
53′
F. Slavicek 🔁
↦ A. Ghali
61′
J. Sip 🔁
↦ M. Hadas
61′
65′
🔁 Lee Jae-Sung
↦ W. Boving
65′
🔁 N. Weiper
↦ Silas
M. Yasser 🔁
↦ J. Kliment
75′
M. Mikulenka 🔁
↦ A. Rusek
75′
82′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ P. Tietz
83′
🟨 Stefan Posch
91′
🔁 S. Widmer
↦ P. Mwene
91′
🔁 S. Kawasaki
↦ P. Nebel
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc

3-4-2-1
91 J. Koutny G
8 J. Spacil D
33 M. Maly D
13 J. Slama D
22 M. Hadas M
47 M. Beran M
88 P. Barath M
70 A. Ghali M
7 D. Sturm F
14 A. Rusek F
9 J. Kliment F
Bench (11)
98 M. Hruska
29 T. Stoppen
39 D. Janosek
77 A. Dolznikov
16 F. Slavicek
35 M. Yasser
6 J. Sip
25 M. Mikulenka
32 S. Jalovicor
3 P. Siegl
24 D. Drabek

Coach: Tomas Janotka

Mainz

3-5-2
33 D. Batz G
31 D. Kohr D
4 S. Posch D
48 K. Potulski D
21 D. da Costa M
8 P. Nebel M
6 K. Sano M
14 W. Boving M
2 P. Mwene M
20 P. Tietz F
26 Silas F
Bench (12)
1 L. Riess
35 L. Babatz
30 S. Widmer
15 L. Maloney
11 A. Sieb
36 F. Moreno Fell
24 S. Kawasaki
42 D. Gleiber
7 Lee Jae-Sung
5 M. Leitsch
22 N. Veratschnig
44 N. Weiper

Coach: Urs Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.