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Europa League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S S U S
0–2
Full-time
Lille
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
11%
44%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,90 xG 1,18
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 8
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Lille – FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1 6. Nov -25 FK Crvena Zvezda – Lille 1–0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Lille
4′
⚽ O. Giroud 0–1
B. Andre
Franklin Tebo 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
M. Veljkovic 🔁
↦ F. Tebo Uchenna
46′
M. Arnautovic 🔁
↦ J. Enem
46′
52′
🟨 Ayyoub Bouaddi
Tomás Händel 🟨
68′
T. Elsnik 🔁
↦ T. Handel
71′
71′
🔁 F. Correia
↦ G. Perrin
94′
🔁 N. Ngoy
↦ T. Santos
94′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ H. Haraldsson
99′
⚽ N. Ngoy 0–2
F. Correia
A. Katai 🔁
↦ V. Kostov
104′
D. Owusu 🔁
↦ Rodrigo
104′
A. Avdic 🔁
↦ N. Tiknizyan
106′
106′
🔁 C. Verdonk
↦ R. Perraud
Adem Avdić 🟨
121′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

3-1-4-2
1 Matheus G
25 S. Erakovic D
5 Rodrigo D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
33 R. Krunic M
66 Seol Young-Woo M
22 V. Kostov M
20 T. Handel M
23 N. Tiknizyan M
42 J. Enem F
17 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (11)
18 O. Glazer
28 V. Draskic
6 M. Bajo
10 A. Katai
13 M. Veljkovic
21 T. Elsnik
35 D. Owusu
40 L. Zaric
45 S. Gudelj
71 A. Avdic
89 M. Arnautovic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 B. Ozer G
22 T. Santos D
18 C. Mbemba D
23 A. Mandi D
15 R. Perraud D
21 B. Andre M
32 A. Bouaddi M
28 G. Perrin M
10 H. Haraldsson M
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (11)
16 A. Bodart
60 Z. Lanssade
3 N. Ngoy
6 N. Bentaleb
17 N. Mukau
20 N. Edjouma
24 C. Verdonk
27 F. Correia
35 S. Diaoune
38 A. Goffi
42 S. Boussadia

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.