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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
HJK Helsinki
S T T T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Farul Constanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
100%
80%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,0
2,6
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Farul Constanta
1–0 B. Radulović
20′
24′
🔁 A. Mazilu
↦ Rivaldinho
37′
🟨 Dragoș Nedelcu
Half-time 1–0
Joona Toivio 🟨
54′
63′
🔁 K. Boli
↦ D. Nedelcu
63′
🔁 D. Dussaut
↦ D. Sîrbu
2–0 B. Radulović
70′
74′
🟨 David Kiki
G. Kanellópoulos 🔁
↦ L. Lingman
84′
85′
🟨 Damien Dussaut
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
87′
89′
🔁 L. Andronache
↦ I. Larie
89′
🔁 C. Grameni
↦ A. Artean
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-4-2-1
85 N. Mäenpää G
4 J. Toivio M
15 M. Tenho M
6 A. Halme D
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan D
10 L. Lingman D
14 M. Peltola M
23 P. Soiri M
7 S. Hostikka F
18 T. Keskinen F
9 B. Radulović M
Bench (12)
24 G. Kanellópoulos
56 P. Hetemaj
22 J. Raitala
29 A. Olusanya
17 H. Bandé
3 N. Hämäläinen
11 R. Riski
5 Kristopher Da Graca
2 T. Ollila
19 A. Paananen
37 A. Tanaka
1 J. Öst

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Farul Constanta

4-3-3
12 M. Aioani G
22 D. Sîrbu D
17 I. Larie M
3 M. Popescu D
25 D. Kiki D
6 T. Băluță M
16 D. Nedelcu M
18 A. Artean D
9 L. Munteanu M
7 Rivaldinho F
10 C. Budescu F
Bench (12)
26 A. Mazilu
21 K. Boli
99 D. Dussaut
19 L. Andronache
24 C. Grameni
1 A. Buzbuchi
77 E. Sali
8 I. Vînă
80 N. Popescu
66 D. Grosu
45 Gustavo Marins
5 Diogo Queirós

Coach: G. Hagi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.