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Conference League
Referee: José Munuera
Ad. Demirspor
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Genk
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
6 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 Genk – Ad. Demirspor 2–1

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Genk
25′
🟨 Alieu Fadera
Half-time 0–0
D. Akintola 🔁
↦ Y. Erdoğan
46′
51′
🔁 C. Bonsu Baah
↦ A. Fadera
1–0 C. Ndiaye ⚽
54′
G. Karačić 🔁
↦ E. Özbir
60′
Emre Akbaba 🟨
64′
66′
ℹ️ Luca Oyen
VAR: Penalty cancelled
68′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ Y. Sor
68′
🔁 G. Arteaga
↦ J. Kayembe
68′
🔁 B. Heynen
↦ P. Hrošovský
B. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
74′
Younès Belhanda 🟨
78′
M. Niang 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
88′
J. Manev 🔁
↦ S. Güler
88′
91′
🟨 Tolu Arokodare
93′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ B. El Khannouss
Kévin Rodrigues 🟨
96′
114′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ L. Oyen
2–0 M. Niang ⚽
121′
Benjamin Stambouli 🟨
122′
122′
⚽ B. Heynen 2–1
3–1 B. Stambouli ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ C. Bonsu Baah 3–2
125′
⚽ A. Ait El Hadj 3–3
Y. Belhanda ❌
penalty missed
126′
4–3 Y. Sarı ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ A. Ouattara 4–4
5–4 D. Akintola ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ T. Arokodare 5–5
Full-time 5–5

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 A. Gravillon D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 E. Akbaba M
7 Y. Sarı M
10 Y. Belhanda M
32 Y. Erdoğan M
99 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
11 D. Akintola
18 G. Karačić
17 B. Ndiaye
9 M. Niang
15 J. Manev
30 Nani
3 A. Dursun
26 D. Toköz
2 İ. Çokçalış
6 T. Aydoğan

Coach: P. Kluivert

Genk

4-4-2
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
2 M. McKenzie D
18 J. Kayembe D
7 A. Fadera M
25 M. Galarza M
17 P. Hrošovský M
34 B. El Khannouss M
14 Y. Sor F
24 L. Oyen F
Bench (10)
90 C. Bonsu Baah
99 T. Arokodare
5 G. Arteaga
8 B. Heynen
19 A. Ait El Hadj
4 A. Ouattara
77 A. Preciado
46 C. Cuesta
1 H. Van Crombrugge
71 M. Pieklak

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.