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Europa League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Qarabag
T U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Olimpija Ljubljana
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
8 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 Olimpija Ljubljana – Qarabag 0–2

Match report

Qarabag Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0 T. Bayramov ⚽
24′
28′
🟨 Nemanja Motika
Bahlul Mustafazada 🟨
29′
36′
⚽ Diogo Pinto 1–1
A. Krefl
42′
🟨 Rui Pedro
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Agustín Doffo
Marko Janković 🟨
48′
54′
🔁 I. Posavec
↦ N. Motika
Abdellah Zoubir 🟨
63′
Juninho 🔁
↦ R. Xhixha
66′
66′
🔁 S. Fadida
↦ Rui Pedro
66′
🔁 M. Nukić
↦ Pedro Lucas
77′
🔁 A. Bristrić
↦ Diogo Pinto
77′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ Jorge Silva
82′
🟨 Justas Lasickas
Matheus Silva 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
82′
R. Almeyda 🔁
↦ T. Bayramov
89′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ M. Janković
90′
Leandro Andrade 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Admir Bristrić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-1-3
23 L. Gugeshashvili G
27 T. Bayramov D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
7 Y. Benzia M
15 Leandro Andrade M
19 R. Xhixha F
10 A. Zoubir M
Bench (11)
18 Juninho
2 Matheus Silva
20 R. Almeyda
17 H. Keyta
99 A. Lunev
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
83 N. Quliyev
4 R. Məmmədov
90 N. Axundzadə
5 M. Medvedev
11 A. Diakhaby

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-3-3
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
6 M. Karamatić D
14 M. Ratnik D
43 A. Krefl D
34 A. Doffo M
10 T. Elšnik M
23 Diogo Pinto M
99 Rui Pedro F
37 Pedro Lucas F
20 N. Motika F
Bench (11)
21 I. Posavec
11 S. Fadida
9 M. Nukić
17 A. Bristrić
8 J. Lasickas
31 Ž. Mauricio
33 N. Gavrić
15 M. Ristić
16 A. Muhamedbegović
22 D. Pintol
77 A. Jakupović

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.