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Conference League
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
PAOK
U S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Hearts
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 Hearts – PAOK 1–2

Match report

PAOK Hearts
1–0 Taison ⚽
16′
18′
🟨 Toby Sibbick
Brandon Thomas 🟨
22′
2–0 Brandon Thomas ⚽
23′
37′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
45′
🟨 Cameron Devlin
Half-time 2–0
Konstantinos Koulierakis 🟨
54′
3–0 G. Konstantelias ⚽
58′
59′
🔁 K. Tagawa
↦ L. Boyce
T. Kędziora 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
64′
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ T. Tsingaras
64′
66′
🔁 A. Lowry
↦ L. Shankland
66′
🔁 A. Denholm
↦ S. Kingsley
4–0 Taison ⚽
71′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ Taison
75′
S. Tzimas 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
75′
G. Vrakas 🔁
↦ A. Živković
81′
82′
🔁 O. Offiah
↦ N. Atkinson
82′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ C. Devlin
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
20 Vieirinha D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
4 K. Koulierakis M
21 A. Baba D
6 T. Tsingaras D
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias F
11 Taison F
71 Brandon Thomas M
Bench (12)
16 T. Kędziora
27 M. Ozdoev
10 T. Murg
95 S. Tzimas
29 G. Vrakas
38 K. Giaxis
5 G. Michailidis
33 M. Samatta
18 Ž. Živković
19 L. Lyratzis
55 Rafa Soares
3 I. Näsberg

Coach: R. Lucescu

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
2 F. Kent M
21 T. Sibbick M
15 K. Rowles D
13 N. Atkinson D
14 C. Devlin D
10 L. Boyce M
19 A. Cochrane M
3 S. Kingsley F
9 L. Shankland F
77 K. Vargas M
Bench (11)
30 K. Tagawa
51 A. Lowry
22 A. Denholm
29 O. Offiah
16 A. Halliday
12 M. McGovern
25 M. Tait
11 Y. Oda
23 H. Stone
17 A. Forrest
39 C. Sandilands

Coach: F. McAvoy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.